Information Revelation in Constant-Sum Games: Elections and Beyond

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Kartik, Navin, Squintani, Francesco, Tinn, Katrin
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Kartik, Navin
Squintani, Francesco
Tinn, Katrin
author_facet Kartik, Navin
Squintani, Francesco
Tinn, Katrin
contents We study two-player constant-sum Bayesian games with type-independent payoffs. Under a "completeness" statistical condition, any "identifiable'" equilibrium is an ex-post equilibrium. We apply this result to a Downsian election in which office-motivated candidates possess private information about policy consequences. The ex-post property implies a sharp bound on information aggregation: equilibrium voter welfare is at best equal to the efficient use of a single candidate's information. In canonical specifications, politicians may "anti-pander" (overreact to their information), whereas some degree of pandering would be socially beneficial. We discuss other applications of the ex-post result.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2406_17084
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Information Revelation in Constant-Sum Games: Elections and Beyond
Kartik, Navin
Squintani, Francesco
Tinn, Katrin
Theoretical Economics
We study two-player constant-sum Bayesian games with type-independent payoffs. Under a "completeness" statistical condition, any "identifiable'" equilibrium is an ex-post equilibrium. We apply this result to a Downsian election in which office-motivated candidates possess private information about policy consequences. The ex-post property implies a sharp bound on information aggregation: equilibrium voter welfare is at best equal to the efficient use of a single candidate's information. In canonical specifications, politicians may "anti-pander" (overreact to their information), whereas some degree of pandering would be socially beneficial. We discuss other applications of the ex-post result.
title Information Revelation in Constant-Sum Games: Elections and Beyond
topic Theoretical Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.17084