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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Gourieroux, Christian, Lee, Quinlan
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.17708
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author Gourieroux, Christian
Lee, Quinlan
author_facet Gourieroux, Christian
Lee, Quinlan
contents We introduce a class of relative error decomposition measures that are well-suited for the analysis of shocks in nonlinear dynamic models. They include the Forecast Relative Error Decomposition (FRED), Forecast Error Kullback Decomposition (FEKD) and Forecast Error Laplace Decomposition (FELD). These measures are favourable over the traditional Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) because they account for nonlinear dependence in both a serial and cross-sectional sense. This is illustrated by applications to dynamic models for qualitative data, count data, stochastic volatility and cyberrisk.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2406_17708
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Forecast Relative Error Decomposition
Gourieroux, Christian
Lee, Quinlan
Econometrics
We introduce a class of relative error decomposition measures that are well-suited for the analysis of shocks in nonlinear dynamic models. They include the Forecast Relative Error Decomposition (FRED), Forecast Error Kullback Decomposition (FEKD) and Forecast Error Laplace Decomposition (FELD). These measures are favourable over the traditional Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) because they account for nonlinear dependence in both a serial and cross-sectional sense. This is illustrated by applications to dynamic models for qualitative data, count data, stochastic volatility and cyberrisk.
title Forecast Relative Error Decomposition
topic Econometrics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.17708