Demonic variance and a non-determinism score for Markov decision processes

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Author: Piribauer, Jakob
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Piribauer, Jakob
author_facet Piribauer, Jakob
contents This paper studies the influence of probabilism and non-determinism on some quantitative aspect X of the execution of a system modeled as a Markov decision process (MDP). To this end, the novel notion of demonic variance is introduced: For a random variable X in an MDP M, it is defined as 1/2 times the maximal expected squared distance of the values of X in two independent execution of M in which also the non-deterministic choices are resolved independently by two distinct schedulers. It is shown that the demonic variance is between 1 and 2 times as large as the maximal variance of X in M that can be achieved by a single scheduler. This allows defining a non-determinism score for M and X measuring how strongly the difference of X in two executions of M can be influenced by the non-deterministic choices. Properties of MDPs M with extremal values of the non-determinism score are established. Further, the algorithmic problems of computing the maximal variance and the demonic variance are investigated for two random variables, namely weighted reachability and accumulated rewards. In the process, also the structure of schedulers maximizing the variance and of scheduler pairs realizing the demonic variance is analyzed.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2406_18727
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Demonic variance and a non-determinism score for Markov decision processes
Piribauer, Jakob
Logic in Computer Science
This paper studies the influence of probabilism and non-determinism on some quantitative aspect X of the execution of a system modeled as a Markov decision process (MDP). To this end, the novel notion of demonic variance is introduced: For a random variable X in an MDP M, it is defined as 1/2 times the maximal expected squared distance of the values of X in two independent execution of M in which also the non-deterministic choices are resolved independently by two distinct schedulers. It is shown that the demonic variance is between 1 and 2 times as large as the maximal variance of X in M that can be achieved by a single scheduler. This allows defining a non-determinism score for M and X measuring how strongly the difference of X in two executions of M can be influenced by the non-deterministic choices. Properties of MDPs M with extremal values of the non-determinism score are established. Further, the algorithmic problems of computing the maximal variance and the demonic variance are investigated for two random variables, namely weighted reachability and accumulated rewards. In the process, also the structure of schedulers maximizing the variance and of scheduler pairs realizing the demonic variance is analyzed.
title Demonic variance and a non-determinism score for Markov decision processes
topic Logic in Computer Science
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.18727