From clonal interference to Poissonian interacting trajectories

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Hermann, Felix, Casanova, Adrián Gonzalez, Santos, Renato Soares dos, Tóbiás, András, Wakolbinger, Anton
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Hermann, Felix
Casanova, Adrián Gonzalez
Santos, Renato Soares dos
Tóbiás, András
Wakolbinger, Anton
author_facet Hermann, Felix
Casanova, Adrián Gonzalez
Santos, Renato Soares dos
Tóbiás, András
Wakolbinger, Anton
contents We consider a population whose size $N$ is fixed over the generations, and in which random beneficial mutations arrive at a rate of order $1/\log N$ per generation. In this so-called Gerrish--Lenski regime, typically a finite number of contending mutations are present together with one resident type. These mutations compete for fixation, a phenomenon addressed as clonal interference. We introduce and study a Poissonian system of interacting trajectories (PIT), and prove that it arises as a large population scaling limit of the logarithmic sizes of the contending clonal subpopulations in a continuous-time Moran model with strong selection. We show that the PIT exhibits an almost surely positive asymptotic rate of fitness increase (speed of adaptation), which turns out to be finite if and only if fitness increments have a finite expectation. We relate this speed to heuristic predictions from the literature. Furthermore, we derive a functional central limit theorem for the fitness of the resident population in the PIT.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_00793
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle From clonal interference to Poissonian interacting trajectories
Hermann, Felix
Casanova, Adrián Gonzalez
Santos, Renato Soares dos
Tóbiás, András
Wakolbinger, Anton
Probability
92D15, 60G55, 60F17, 60J85, 60K05
We consider a population whose size $N$ is fixed over the generations, and in which random beneficial mutations arrive at a rate of order $1/\log N$ per generation. In this so-called Gerrish--Lenski regime, typically a finite number of contending mutations are present together with one resident type. These mutations compete for fixation, a phenomenon addressed as clonal interference. We introduce and study a Poissonian system of interacting trajectories (PIT), and prove that it arises as a large population scaling limit of the logarithmic sizes of the contending clonal subpopulations in a continuous-time Moran model with strong selection. We show that the PIT exhibits an almost surely positive asymptotic rate of fitness increase (speed of adaptation), which turns out to be finite if and only if fitness increments have a finite expectation. We relate this speed to heuristic predictions from the literature. Furthermore, we derive a functional central limit theorem for the fitness of the resident population in the PIT.
title From clonal interference to Poissonian interacting trajectories
topic Probability
92D15, 60G55, 60F17, 60J85, 60K05
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.00793