Beyond the Mean: Testing Consumer Rationality through Higher Moments of Demand

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Maes, Sebastiaan, Malhotra, Raghav
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Maes, Sebastiaan
Malhotra, Raghav
author_facet Maes, Sebastiaan
Malhotra, Raghav
contents We study a setting where an analyst has access to purely aggregate information about the consumption choices of a heterogenous population of individuals. We show that observing the statistical moments of market demand allows the analyst to test aggregate data for rationality. Interestingly, just the mean and variance of demand carry observable restrictions. This is in stark contrast to impossibility result of the Sonnenschein-Mantel-Debreu theorem, which shows that aggregate demand carries no observable restrictions at all. We leverage our approach to deliver a characterization of rationality in terms of moments for the common two-good case. We illustrate the usefulness of moment-based restrictions through two applications: (i) improving the precision of demand and welfare estimates; and (ii) testing for the existence of a welfare-relevant representative consumer.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_01538
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Beyond the Mean: Testing Consumer Rationality through Higher Moments of Demand
Maes, Sebastiaan
Malhotra, Raghav
Theoretical Economics
We study a setting where an analyst has access to purely aggregate information about the consumption choices of a heterogenous population of individuals. We show that observing the statistical moments of market demand allows the analyst to test aggregate data for rationality. Interestingly, just the mean and variance of demand carry observable restrictions. This is in stark contrast to impossibility result of the Sonnenschein-Mantel-Debreu theorem, which shows that aggregate demand carries no observable restrictions at all. We leverage our approach to deliver a characterization of rationality in terms of moments for the common two-good case. We illustrate the usefulness of moment-based restrictions through two applications: (i) improving the precision of demand and welfare estimates; and (ii) testing for the existence of a welfare-relevant representative consumer.
title Beyond the Mean: Testing Consumer Rationality through Higher Moments of Demand
topic Theoretical Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.01538