Optimizing PM2.5 Forecasting Accuracy with Hybrid Meta-Heuristic and Machine Learning Models

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Ghafariasl, Parviz, Zeinalnezhad, Masoomeh, Ahmadishokooh, Amir
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Ghafariasl, Parviz
Zeinalnezhad, Masoomeh
Ahmadishokooh, Amir
author_facet Ghafariasl, Parviz
Zeinalnezhad, Masoomeh
Ahmadishokooh, Amir
contents Timely alerts about hazardous air pollutants are crucial for public health. However, existing forecasting models often overlook key factors like baseline parameters and missing data, limiting their accuracy. This study introduces a hybrid approach to address these issues, focusing on forecasting hourly PM2.5 concentrations using Support Vector Regression (SVR). Meta-heuristic algorithms, Grey Wolf Optimization (GWO) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), optimize SVR Hyper-parameters "C" and "Gamma" to enhance prediction accuracy. Evaluation metrics include R-squared (R2), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). Results show significant improvements with PSO-SVR (R2: 0.9401, RMSE: 0.2390, MAE: 0.1368) and GWO-SVR (R2: 0.9408, RMSE: 0.2376, MAE: 0.1373), indicating robust and accurate models suitable for similar research applications.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_01647
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Optimizing PM2.5 Forecasting Accuracy with Hybrid Meta-Heuristic and Machine Learning Models
Ghafariasl, Parviz
Zeinalnezhad, Masoomeh
Ahmadishokooh, Amir
Neural and Evolutionary Computing
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Timely alerts about hazardous air pollutants are crucial for public health. However, existing forecasting models often overlook key factors like baseline parameters and missing data, limiting their accuracy. This study introduces a hybrid approach to address these issues, focusing on forecasting hourly PM2.5 concentrations using Support Vector Regression (SVR). Meta-heuristic algorithms, Grey Wolf Optimization (GWO) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), optimize SVR Hyper-parameters "C" and "Gamma" to enhance prediction accuracy. Evaluation metrics include R-squared (R2), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). Results show significant improvements with PSO-SVR (R2: 0.9401, RMSE: 0.2390, MAE: 0.1368) and GWO-SVR (R2: 0.9408, RMSE: 0.2376, MAE: 0.1373), indicating robust and accurate models suitable for similar research applications.
title Optimizing PM2.5 Forecasting Accuracy with Hybrid Meta-Heuristic and Machine Learning Models
topic Neural and Evolutionary Computing
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.01647