Latent Diffusion Model for Generating Ensembles of Climate Simulations

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Meuer, Johannes, Witte, Maximilian, Finn, Tobias Sebastian, Timmreck, Claudia, Ludwig, Thomas, Kadow, Christopher
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Meuer, Johannes
Witte, Maximilian
Finn, Tobias Sebastian
Timmreck, Claudia
Ludwig, Thomas
Kadow, Christopher
author_facet Meuer, Johannes
Witte, Maximilian
Finn, Tobias Sebastian
Timmreck, Claudia
Ludwig, Thomas
Kadow, Christopher
contents Obtaining accurate estimates of uncertainty in climate scenarios often requires generating large ensembles of high-resolution climate simulations, a computationally expensive and memory intensive process. To address this challenge, we train a novel generative deep learning approach on extensive sets of climate simulations. The model consists of two components: a variational autoencoder for dimensionality reduction and a denoising diffusion probabilistic model that generates multiple ensemble members. We validate our model on the Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble and show that it achieves good agreement with the original ensemble in terms of variability. By leveraging the latent space representation, our model can rapidly generate large ensembles on-the-fly with minimal memory requirements, which can significantly improve the efficiency of uncertainty quantification in climate simulations.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_02070
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Latent Diffusion Model for Generating Ensembles of Climate Simulations
Meuer, Johannes
Witte, Maximilian
Finn, Tobias Sebastian
Timmreck, Claudia
Ludwig, Thomas
Kadow, Christopher
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
Obtaining accurate estimates of uncertainty in climate scenarios often requires generating large ensembles of high-resolution climate simulations, a computationally expensive and memory intensive process. To address this challenge, we train a novel generative deep learning approach on extensive sets of climate simulations. The model consists of two components: a variational autoencoder for dimensionality reduction and a denoising diffusion probabilistic model that generates multiple ensemble members. We validate our model on the Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble and show that it achieves good agreement with the original ensemble in terms of variability. By leveraging the latent space representation, our model can rapidly generate large ensembles on-the-fly with minimal memory requirements, which can significantly improve the efficiency of uncertainty quantification in climate simulations.
title Latent Diffusion Model for Generating Ensembles of Climate Simulations
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.02070