Prices and Concentration: A U-shape? Theory and Evidence from Renewables

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Fioretti, Michele, He, Junnan, Tamayo, Jorge
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Fioretti, Michele
He, Junnan
Tamayo, Jorge
author_facet Fioretti, Michele
He, Junnan
Tamayo, Jorge
contents We show that when firms compete via supply functions, transferring high-cost capacity to the largest, most efficient firm--thereby diversifying its production technologies while increasing concentration--can lower prices by prompting the leader to expand output and competitors to aggressively defend market shares. However, large transfers prove anticompetitive, as sizable capacity differences discourage price undercutting. Exploiting renewable intermittencies in Colombia's electricity market, where firms are technology-diversified, we consistently find a U-shape relationship between prices and concentration. Counterfactually reallocating 30% of competitors' high-cost capacities to the leader cuts prices 10%, while larger transfers raise them, revealing how capacity and efficiency influence market power.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_03504
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Prices and Concentration: A U-shape? Theory and Evidence from Renewables
Fioretti, Michele
He, Junnan
Tamayo, Jorge
General Economics
Economics
We show that when firms compete via supply functions, transferring high-cost capacity to the largest, most efficient firm--thereby diversifying its production technologies while increasing concentration--can lower prices by prompting the leader to expand output and competitors to aggressively defend market shares. However, large transfers prove anticompetitive, as sizable capacity differences discourage price undercutting. Exploiting renewable intermittencies in Colombia's electricity market, where firms are technology-diversified, we consistently find a U-shape relationship between prices and concentration. Counterfactually reallocating 30% of competitors' high-cost capacities to the leader cuts prices 10%, while larger transfers raise them, revealing how capacity and efficiency influence market power.
title Prices and Concentration: A U-shape? Theory and Evidence from Renewables
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.03504