A Low-Rank Bayesian Approach for Geoadditive Modeling

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Sumalinab, Bryan, Gressani, Oswaldo, Hens, Niel, Faes, Christel
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Sumalinab, Bryan
Gressani, Oswaldo
Hens, Niel
Faes, Christel
author_facet Sumalinab, Bryan
Gressani, Oswaldo
Hens, Niel
Faes, Christel
contents Kriging is an established methodology for predicting spatial data in geostatistics. Current kriging techniques can handle linear dependencies on spatially referenced covariates. Although splines have shown promise in capturing nonlinear dependencies of covariates, their combination with kriging, especially in handling count data, remains underexplored. This paper proposes a novel Bayesian approach to the low-rank representation of geoadditive models, which integrates splines and kriging to account for both spatial correlations and nonlinear dependencies of covariates. The proposed method accommodates Gaussian and count data inherent in many geospatial datasets. Additionally, Laplace approximations to selected posterior distributions enhances computational efficiency, resulting in faster computation times compared to Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques commonly used for Bayesian inference. Method performance is assessed through a simulation study, demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed approach. The methodology is applied to the analysis of heavy metal concentrations in the Meuse river and vulnerability to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Belgium. Through this work, we provide a new flexible and computationally efficient framework for analyzing spatial data.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_05854
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Low-Rank Bayesian Approach for Geoadditive Modeling
Sumalinab, Bryan
Gressani, Oswaldo
Hens, Niel
Faes, Christel
Methodology
Kriging is an established methodology for predicting spatial data in geostatistics. Current kriging techniques can handle linear dependencies on spatially referenced covariates. Although splines have shown promise in capturing nonlinear dependencies of covariates, their combination with kriging, especially in handling count data, remains underexplored. This paper proposes a novel Bayesian approach to the low-rank representation of geoadditive models, which integrates splines and kriging to account for both spatial correlations and nonlinear dependencies of covariates. The proposed method accommodates Gaussian and count data inherent in many geospatial datasets. Additionally, Laplace approximations to selected posterior distributions enhances computational efficiency, resulting in faster computation times compared to Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques commonly used for Bayesian inference. Method performance is assessed through a simulation study, demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed approach. The methodology is applied to the analysis of heavy metal concentrations in the Meuse river and vulnerability to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Belgium. Through this work, we provide a new flexible and computationally efficient framework for analyzing spatial data.
title A Low-Rank Bayesian Approach for Geoadditive Modeling
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.05854