Dealing with idiosyncratic cross-correlation when constructing confidence regions for PC factors

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Fresoli, Diego, Poncela, Pilar, Ruiz, Esther
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Fresoli, Diego
Poncela, Pilar
Ruiz, Esther
author_facet Fresoli, Diego
Poncela, Pilar
Ruiz, Esther
contents In this paper, we propose a computationally simple estimator of the asymptotic covariance matrix of the Principal Components (PC) factors valid in the presence of cross-correlated idiosyncratic components. The proposed estimator of the asymptotic Mean Square Error (MSE) of PC factors is based on adaptive thresholding the sample covariances of the id iosyncratic residuals with the threshold based on their individual variances. We compare the nite sample performance of condence regions for the PC factors obtained using the proposed asymptotic MSE with those of available extant asymptotic and bootstrap regions and show that the former beats all alternative procedures for a wide variety of idiosyncratic cross-correlation structures.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_06883
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Dealing with idiosyncratic cross-correlation when constructing confidence regions for PC factors
Fresoli, Diego
Poncela, Pilar
Ruiz, Esther
Econometrics
In this paper, we propose a computationally simple estimator of the asymptotic covariance matrix of the Principal Components (PC) factors valid in the presence of cross-correlated idiosyncratic components. The proposed estimator of the asymptotic Mean Square Error (MSE) of PC factors is based on adaptive thresholding the sample covariances of the id iosyncratic residuals with the threshold based on their individual variances. We compare the nite sample performance of condence regions for the PC factors obtained using the proposed asymptotic MSE with those of available extant asymptotic and bootstrap regions and show that the former beats all alternative procedures for a wide variety of idiosyncratic cross-correlation structures.
title Dealing with idiosyncratic cross-correlation when constructing confidence regions for PC factors
topic Econometrics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.06883