Association of the IceCube neutrinos with blazars in the CGRaBS sample

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Hauptverfasser: Kouch, Pouya M., Lindfors, Elina, Hovatta, Talvikki, Liodakis, Ioannis, Koljonen, Karri I. I., Nilsson, Kari, Kiehlmann, Sebastian, Max-Moerbeck, Walter, Readhead, Anthony C. S., Reeves, Rodrigo A., Pearson, Timothy J., Jormanainen, Jenni, Ramazani, Vandad Fallah, Graham, Matthew J.
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Kouch, Pouya M.
Lindfors, Elina
Hovatta, Talvikki
Liodakis, Ioannis
Koljonen, Karri I. I.
Nilsson, Kari
Kiehlmann, Sebastian
Max-Moerbeck, Walter
Readhead, Anthony C. S.
Reeves, Rodrigo A.
Pearson, Timothy J.
Jormanainen, Jenni
Ramazani, Vandad Fallah
Graham, Matthew J.
author_facet Kouch, Pouya M.
Lindfors, Elina
Hovatta, Talvikki
Liodakis, Ioannis
Koljonen, Karri I. I.
Nilsson, Kari
Kiehlmann, Sebastian
Max-Moerbeck, Walter
Readhead, Anthony C. S.
Reeves, Rodrigo A.
Pearson, Timothy J.
Jormanainen, Jenni
Ramazani, Vandad Fallah
Graham, Matthew J.
contents The origin of high-energy (HE) astrophysical neutrinos has remained an elusive hot topic in the field of HE astrophysics for the past decade. Apart from a handful of individual associations, the vast majority of HE neutrinos arise from unknown sources. While there are theoretically-motivated candidate populations, such as blazars -- a subclass of AGN with jets pointed towards our line-of-sight -- they have not yet been convincingly linked to HE neutrino production. Here, we perform a spatio-temporal association analysis between a sample of blazars (from CGRaBS catalog) in the radio and optical bands and the most up-to-date IceCube HE neutrino catalog. We find that if the IceCube error regions are enlarged by 1$^\circ$ in quadrature, to account for unknown systematic errors at maximal level, a spatio-temporal correlation between the multiwavelength light curves of the CGRaBS blazars and the IceCube HE neutrinos is hinted at least at a 2.17$σ$ significance level. On the other hand, when the IceCube error regions are taken as their published values, we do not find any significant correlations. A discrepancy in the blazar-neutrino correlation strengths, when using such minimal and enlarged error region scenarios, was also obtained in a recent study by the IceCube collaboration. In our study, this difference arises because several flaring blazars -- coinciding with a neutrino arrival time -- happen to narrowly miss the published 90\%-likelihood error region of the nearest neutrino event. For all of the associations driving our most significant correlations, the flaring blazar is much less than 1$^\circ$ away from the published error regions. Therefore, our results indicate that the question of the blazar-neutrino connection is highly sensitive to the reconstruction of the neutrino error regions, whose reliability is expected to improve with the next generation of neutrino observatories.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_07153
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Association of the IceCube neutrinos with blazars in the CGRaBS sample
Kouch, Pouya M.
Lindfors, Elina
Hovatta, Talvikki
Liodakis, Ioannis
Koljonen, Karri I. I.
Nilsson, Kari
Kiehlmann, Sebastian
Max-Moerbeck, Walter
Readhead, Anthony C. S.
Reeves, Rodrigo A.
Pearson, Timothy J.
Jormanainen, Jenni
Ramazani, Vandad Fallah
Graham, Matthew J.
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
The origin of high-energy (HE) astrophysical neutrinos has remained an elusive hot topic in the field of HE astrophysics for the past decade. Apart from a handful of individual associations, the vast majority of HE neutrinos arise from unknown sources. While there are theoretically-motivated candidate populations, such as blazars -- a subclass of AGN with jets pointed towards our line-of-sight -- they have not yet been convincingly linked to HE neutrino production. Here, we perform a spatio-temporal association analysis between a sample of blazars (from CGRaBS catalog) in the radio and optical bands and the most up-to-date IceCube HE neutrino catalog. We find that if the IceCube error regions are enlarged by 1$^\circ$ in quadrature, to account for unknown systematic errors at maximal level, a spatio-temporal correlation between the multiwavelength light curves of the CGRaBS blazars and the IceCube HE neutrinos is hinted at least at a 2.17$σ$ significance level. On the other hand, when the IceCube error regions are taken as their published values, we do not find any significant correlations. A discrepancy in the blazar-neutrino correlation strengths, when using such minimal and enlarged error region scenarios, was also obtained in a recent study by the IceCube collaboration. In our study, this difference arises because several flaring blazars -- coinciding with a neutrino arrival time -- happen to narrowly miss the published 90\%-likelihood error region of the nearest neutrino event. For all of the associations driving our most significant correlations, the flaring blazar is much less than 1$^\circ$ away from the published error regions. Therefore, our results indicate that the question of the blazar-neutrino connection is highly sensitive to the reconstruction of the neutrino error regions, whose reliability is expected to improve with the next generation of neutrino observatories.
title Association of the IceCube neutrinos with blazars in the CGRaBS sample
topic High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.07153