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Main Authors: Sigaud, Liam, Bjoerkheim, Markus, Melo, Vitor
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.07217
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author Sigaud, Liam
Bjoerkheim, Markus
Melo, Vitor
author_facet Sigaud, Liam
Bjoerkheim, Markus
Melo, Vitor
contents Under the ACA, the federal government paid a substantially larger share of medical costs of newly eligible Medicaid enrollees than previously eligible ones. States could save up to 100% of their per-enrollee costs by reclassifying original enrollees into the newly eligible group. We examine whether this fiscal incentive changed states' enrollment practices. We find that Medicaid expansion caused large declines in the number of beneficiaries enrolled in the original Medicaid population, suggesting widespread reclassifications. In 2019 alone, this phenomenon affected 4.4 million Medicaid enrollees at a federal cost of $8.3 billion. Our results imply that reclassifications inflated the federal cost of Medicaid expansion by 18.2%.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_07217
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Hidden Subsidy of the Affordable Care Act
Sigaud, Liam
Bjoerkheim, Markus
Melo, Vitor
Econometrics
Under the ACA, the federal government paid a substantially larger share of medical costs of newly eligible Medicaid enrollees than previously eligible ones. States could save up to 100% of their per-enrollee costs by reclassifying original enrollees into the newly eligible group. We examine whether this fiscal incentive changed states' enrollment practices. We find that Medicaid expansion caused large declines in the number of beneficiaries enrolled in the original Medicaid population, suggesting widespread reclassifications. In 2019 alone, this phenomenon affected 4.4 million Medicaid enrollees at a federal cost of $8.3 billion. Our results imply that reclassifications inflated the federal cost of Medicaid expansion by 18.2%.
title The Hidden Subsidy of the Affordable Care Act
topic Econometrics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.07217