Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Boschi, Martina, Wit, Ernst-Jan Camiel
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.08599
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1866929417763160064
author Boschi, Martina
Wit, Ernst-Jan Camiel
author_facet Boschi, Martina
Wit, Ernst-Jan Camiel
contents A type of dynamic network involves temporally ordered interactions between actors, where past network configurations may influence future ones. The relational event model can be used to identify the underlying dynamics that drive interactions among system components. Despite the rapid development of this model over the past 15 years, an ongoing area of research revolves around evaluating the goodness of fit of this model, especially when it incorporates time-varying and random effects. Current methodologies often rely on comparing observed and simulated events using specific statistics, but this can be computationally intensive, and requires various assumptions. We propose an additive mixed-effect relational event model estimated via case-control sampling, and introduce a versatile framework for testing the goodness of fit of such models using weighted martingale residuals. Our focus is on a Kolmogorov-Smirnov type test designed to assess if covariates are accurately modeled. Our approach can be easily extended to evaluate whether other features of network dynamics have been appropriately incorporated into the model. We assess the goodness of fit of various relational event models using synthetic data to evaluate the test's power and coverage. Furthermore, we apply the method to a social study involving 57,791 emails sent by 159 employees of a Polish manufacturing company in 2010. The method is implemented in the R package mgcv.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_08599
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Goodness of fit of relational event models
Boschi, Martina
Wit, Ernst-Jan Camiel
Methodology
A type of dynamic network involves temporally ordered interactions between actors, where past network configurations may influence future ones. The relational event model can be used to identify the underlying dynamics that drive interactions among system components. Despite the rapid development of this model over the past 15 years, an ongoing area of research revolves around evaluating the goodness of fit of this model, especially when it incorporates time-varying and random effects. Current methodologies often rely on comparing observed and simulated events using specific statistics, but this can be computationally intensive, and requires various assumptions. We propose an additive mixed-effect relational event model estimated via case-control sampling, and introduce a versatile framework for testing the goodness of fit of such models using weighted martingale residuals. Our focus is on a Kolmogorov-Smirnov type test designed to assess if covariates are accurately modeled. Our approach can be easily extended to evaluate whether other features of network dynamics have been appropriately incorporated into the model. We assess the goodness of fit of various relational event models using synthetic data to evaluate the test's power and coverage. Furthermore, we apply the method to a social study involving 57,791 emails sent by 159 employees of a Polish manufacturing company in 2010. The method is implemented in the R package mgcv.
title Goodness of fit of relational event models
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.08599