On goodness-of-fit testing for self-exciting point processes

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Kling, José C. F., Vetter, Mathias
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Kling, José C. F.
Vetter, Mathias
author_facet Kling, José C. F.
Vetter, Mathias
contents Despite the wide usage of parametric point processes in theory and applications, a sound goodness-of-fit procedure to test whether a given parametric model is appropriate for data coming from a self-exciting point processes has been missing in the literature. In this work, we establish a bootstrap-based goodness-of-fit test which empirically works for all kinds of self-exciting point processes (and even beyond). In an infill-asymptotic setting we also prove its asymptotic consistency, albeit only in the particular case that the underlying point process is inhomogeneous Poisson.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_09130
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle On goodness-of-fit testing for self-exciting point processes
Kling, José C. F.
Vetter, Mathias
Statistics Theory
Methodology
Despite the wide usage of parametric point processes in theory and applications, a sound goodness-of-fit procedure to test whether a given parametric model is appropriate for data coming from a self-exciting point processes has been missing in the literature. In this work, we establish a bootstrap-based goodness-of-fit test which empirically works for all kinds of self-exciting point processes (and even beyond). In an infill-asymptotic setting we also prove its asymptotic consistency, albeit only in the particular case that the underlying point process is inhomogeneous Poisson.
title On goodness-of-fit testing for self-exciting point processes
topic Statistics Theory
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.09130