The Self-Organized Criticality Paradigm in Economics & Finance
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arXiv
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| Format: | Preprint |
| Published: |
2024
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| _version_ | 1866909307241496576 |
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| author | Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe |
| author_facet | Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe |
| contents | ``Self-Organised Criticality'' (SOC) is the mechanism by which complex systems spontaneously settle close to a *critical point*, at the edge between stability and chaos, and characterized by fat-tailed fluctuations and long-memory correlations. Such a scenario may explain why insignificant perturbations can generate large disruptions, through the propagation of ``avalanches'' across the system. In this short review, we discuss how SOC could offer a plausible solution to the excess volatility puzzle in financial markets and the analogue ``small shocks, large business cycle puzzle'' for the economy at large, as initially surmised by Per Bak et al. in 1993. We argue that in general the quest for efficiency and the necessity of *resilience* may be mutually incompatible and require specific policy considerations. |
| format | Preprint |
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arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_10284 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | The Self-Organized Criticality Paradigm in Economics & Finance Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe General Finance Disordered Systems and Neural Networks General Economics Economics ``Self-Organised Criticality'' (SOC) is the mechanism by which complex systems spontaneously settle close to a *critical point*, at the edge between stability and chaos, and characterized by fat-tailed fluctuations and long-memory correlations. Such a scenario may explain why insignificant perturbations can generate large disruptions, through the propagation of ``avalanches'' across the system. In this short review, we discuss how SOC could offer a plausible solution to the excess volatility puzzle in financial markets and the analogue ``small shocks, large business cycle puzzle'' for the economy at large, as initially surmised by Per Bak et al. in 1993. We argue that in general the quest for efficiency and the necessity of *resilience* may be mutually incompatible and require specific policy considerations. |
| title | The Self-Organized Criticality Paradigm in Economics & Finance |
| topic | General Finance Disordered Systems and Neural Networks General Economics Economics |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.10284 |