Exploring incentive strategies and predicting development trends for new energy vehicles

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Jin, Tao, Jiang, Yulian, Liu, Xingwen
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Jin, Tao
Jiang, Yulian
Liu, Xingwen
author_facet Jin, Tao
Jiang, Yulian
Liu, Xingwen
contents To facilitate new energy vehicles (NEVs), we construct a game model between vehicle manufacturers and consumers to explore their interactions. In the model, we propose the Expectation Supply-Demand Game (ESDG), construct the consumer purchasing decision-making process with feedback and analyse the stability of the system under different feedback factors. We processes the data of the model in numerical simulation through Min-Max normalisation and predicts the development of NEVs. The results show that: (1) An evolutionary stabilisation strategy (ESS) emerges in the evolutionary game model with the introduction of feedback. (2) The Min-Max normalisation method is conducive to the accuracy of the model. (3) Excessive advertising and marketing may cause consumer boredom. (4) The establishment of an appropriate battery compensation and replacement insurance is conducive to the development of NEVs. (5) The production and sales ratio of China's NEVs is predicted to reach 37.2\% and 36.9\% respectively in 2024.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_10611
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Exploring incentive strategies and predicting development trends for new energy vehicles
Jin, Tao
Jiang, Yulian
Liu, Xingwen
Numerical Analysis
To facilitate new energy vehicles (NEVs), we construct a game model between vehicle manufacturers and consumers to explore their interactions. In the model, we propose the Expectation Supply-Demand Game (ESDG), construct the consumer purchasing decision-making process with feedback and analyse the stability of the system under different feedback factors. We processes the data of the model in numerical simulation through Min-Max normalisation and predicts the development of NEVs. The results show that: (1) An evolutionary stabilisation strategy (ESS) emerges in the evolutionary game model with the introduction of feedback. (2) The Min-Max normalisation method is conducive to the accuracy of the model. (3) Excessive advertising and marketing may cause consumer boredom. (4) The establishment of an appropriate battery compensation and replacement insurance is conducive to the development of NEVs. (5) The production and sales ratio of China's NEVs is predicted to reach 37.2\% and 36.9\% respectively in 2024.
title Exploring incentive strategies and predicting development trends for new energy vehicles
topic Numerical Analysis
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.10611