Industrial-Grade Time-Dependent Counterfactual Root Cause Analysis through the Unanticipated Point of Incipient Failure: a Proof of Concept

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Trilla, Alexandre, Rajendran, Rajesh, Yiboe, Ossee, Possamaï, Quentin, Mijatovic, Nenad, Vitrià, Jordi
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Trilla, Alexandre
Rajendran, Rajesh
Yiboe, Ossee
Possamaï, Quentin
Mijatovic, Nenad
Vitrià, Jordi
author_facet Trilla, Alexandre
Rajendran, Rajesh
Yiboe, Ossee
Possamaï, Quentin
Mijatovic, Nenad
Vitrià, Jordi
contents This paper describes the development of a counterfactual Root Cause Analysis diagnosis approach for an industrial multivariate time series environment. It drives the attention toward the Point of Incipient Failure, which is the moment in time when the anomalous behavior is first observed, and where the root cause is assumed to be found before the issue propagates. The paper presents the elementary but essential concepts of the solution and illustrates them experimentally on a simulated setting. Finally, it discusses avenues of improvement for the maturity of the causal technology to meet the robustness challenges of increasingly complex environments in the industry.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_11056
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Industrial-Grade Time-Dependent Counterfactual Root Cause Analysis through the Unanticipated Point of Incipient Failure: a Proof of Concept
Trilla, Alexandre
Rajendran, Rajesh
Yiboe, Ossee
Possamaï, Quentin
Mijatovic, Nenad
Vitrià, Jordi
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Methodology
This paper describes the development of a counterfactual Root Cause Analysis diagnosis approach for an industrial multivariate time series environment. It drives the attention toward the Point of Incipient Failure, which is the moment in time when the anomalous behavior is first observed, and where the root cause is assumed to be found before the issue propagates. The paper presents the elementary but essential concepts of the solution and illustrates them experimentally on a simulated setting. Finally, it discusses avenues of improvement for the maturity of the causal technology to meet the robustness challenges of increasingly complex environments in the industry.
title Industrial-Grade Time-Dependent Counterfactual Root Cause Analysis through the Unanticipated Point of Incipient Failure: a Proof of Concept
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.11056