Multi-scale assessment of high-resolution reanalysis precipitation fields over Italy

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Cavalleri, Francesco, Lussana, Cristian, Viterbo, Francesca, Brunetti, Michele, Bonanno, Riccardo, Manara, Veronica, Lacavalla, Matteo, Sperati, Simone, Raffa, Mario, Capecchi, Valerio, Cesari, Davide, Giordani, Antonio, Cerenzia, Ines Maria Luisa, Maugeri, Maurizio
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Cavalleri, Francesco
Lussana, Cristian
Viterbo, Francesca
Brunetti, Michele
Bonanno, Riccardo
Manara, Veronica
Lacavalla, Matteo
Sperati, Simone
Raffa, Mario
Capecchi, Valerio
Cesari, Davide
Giordani, Antonio
Cerenzia, Ines Maria Luisa
Maugeri, Maurizio
author_facet Cavalleri, Francesco
Lussana, Cristian
Viterbo, Francesca
Brunetti, Michele
Bonanno, Riccardo
Manara, Veronica
Lacavalla, Matteo
Sperati, Simone
Raffa, Mario
Capecchi, Valerio
Cesari, Davide
Giordani, Antonio
Cerenzia, Ines Maria Luisa
Maugeri, Maurizio
contents This study focuses on the validation of high-resolution regional reanalyses to understand their effectiveness in reproducing precipitation patterns over Italy, a climate change hotspot characterized by coastal sea-land interaction and complex orography. Nine reanalysis products were evaluated, with the ECMWF global reanalysis ERA5 serving as a benchmark. These included both European (COSMO-REA6, CERRA) and Italy-specific (BOLAM, MERIDA, MERIDA-HRES, MOLOCH, SPHERA, VHR-REA\_IT) datasets, using different models and parametrizations. The inter-comparison involved determining the effective resolution of daily precipitation fields using wavelet techniques and assessing intense precipitation statistics through frequency distributions. In-situ observations and observational gridded datasets were used to independently validate reanalysis precipitation fields. The capability of reanalyses to depict daily precipitation patterns was assessed, highlighting a maximum radius of precipitation misplacement of about 15 km, with notably lower skills during summer. An overall overestimation of precipitation was identified in the reanalysis climatological fields over the Po Valley and the Alps, whereas multiple products showed an underestimation of precipitations across the North-West coast, the Apennines, and Southern Italy. Finally, a comparison with a time-consistent observational dataset (UniMi/ISAC-CNR) revealed a non-stable deviation from observations in the annual precipitation cumulate of the reanalysis products analyzed. This should be taken into account when interpreting precipitation trends over Italy.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_11517
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Multi-scale assessment of high-resolution reanalysis precipitation fields over Italy
Cavalleri, Francesco
Lussana, Cristian
Viterbo, Francesca
Brunetti, Michele
Bonanno, Riccardo
Manara, Veronica
Lacavalla, Matteo
Sperati, Simone
Raffa, Mario
Capecchi, Valerio
Cesari, Davide
Giordani, Antonio
Cerenzia, Ines Maria Luisa
Maugeri, Maurizio
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
This study focuses on the validation of high-resolution regional reanalyses to understand their effectiveness in reproducing precipitation patterns over Italy, a climate change hotspot characterized by coastal sea-land interaction and complex orography. Nine reanalysis products were evaluated, with the ECMWF global reanalysis ERA5 serving as a benchmark. These included both European (COSMO-REA6, CERRA) and Italy-specific (BOLAM, MERIDA, MERIDA-HRES, MOLOCH, SPHERA, VHR-REA\_IT) datasets, using different models and parametrizations. The inter-comparison involved determining the effective resolution of daily precipitation fields using wavelet techniques and assessing intense precipitation statistics through frequency distributions. In-situ observations and observational gridded datasets were used to independently validate reanalysis precipitation fields. The capability of reanalyses to depict daily precipitation patterns was assessed, highlighting a maximum radius of precipitation misplacement of about 15 km, with notably lower skills during summer. An overall overestimation of precipitation was identified in the reanalysis climatological fields over the Po Valley and the Alps, whereas multiple products showed an underestimation of precipitations across the North-West coast, the Apennines, and Southern Italy. Finally, a comparison with a time-consistent observational dataset (UniMi/ISAC-CNR) revealed a non-stable deviation from observations in the annual precipitation cumulate of the reanalysis products analyzed. This should be taken into account when interpreting precipitation trends over Italy.
title Multi-scale assessment of high-resolution reanalysis precipitation fields over Italy
topic Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.11517