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Autores principales: Yao, Yue, Yan, Shengchao, Goehring, Daniel, Burgard, Wolfram, Reichardt, Joerg
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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Acceso en línea:https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.13431
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author Yao, Yue
Yan, Shengchao
Goehring, Daniel
Burgard, Wolfram
Reichardt, Joerg
author_facet Yao, Yue
Yan, Shengchao
Goehring, Daniel
Burgard, Wolfram
Reichardt, Joerg
contents Robustness against Out-of-Distribution (OoD) samples is a key performance indicator of a trajectory prediction model. However, the development and ranking of state-of-the-art (SotA) models are driven by their In-Distribution (ID) performance on individual competition datasets. We present an OoD testing protocol that homogenizes datasets and prediction tasks across two large-scale motion datasets. We introduce a novel prediction algorithm based on polynomial representations for agent trajectory and road geometry on both the input and output sides of the model. With a much smaller model size, training effort, and inference time, we reach near SotA performance for ID testing and significantly improve robustness in OoD testing. Within our OoD testing protocol, we further study two augmentation strategies of SotA models and their effects on model generalization. Highlighting the contrast between ID and OoD performance, we suggest adding OoD testing to the evaluation criteria of trajectory prediction models.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_13431
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Improving Out-of-Distribution Generalization of Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving via Polynomial Representations
Yao, Yue
Yan, Shengchao
Goehring, Daniel
Burgard, Wolfram
Reichardt, Joerg
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Robustness against Out-of-Distribution (OoD) samples is a key performance indicator of a trajectory prediction model. However, the development and ranking of state-of-the-art (SotA) models are driven by their In-Distribution (ID) performance on individual competition datasets. We present an OoD testing protocol that homogenizes datasets and prediction tasks across two large-scale motion datasets. We introduce a novel prediction algorithm based on polynomial representations for agent trajectory and road geometry on both the input and output sides of the model. With a much smaller model size, training effort, and inference time, we reach near SotA performance for ID testing and significantly improve robustness in OoD testing. Within our OoD testing protocol, we further study two augmentation strategies of SotA models and their effects on model generalization. Highlighting the contrast between ID and OoD performance, we suggest adding OoD testing to the evaluation criteria of trajectory prediction models.
title Improving Out-of-Distribution Generalization of Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving via Polynomial Representations
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.13431