Analysis of the full Spitzer microlensing sample I: Dark remnant candidates and Gaia predictions

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Main Authors: Rybicki, Krzysztof A., Shvartzvald, Yossi, Yee, Jennifer C., Novati, Sebastiano Calchi, Ofek, Eran O., Bond, Ian A., Beichman, Charles, Bryden, Geoff, Carey, Sean, Henderson, Calen, Zhu, Wei, Fausnaugh, Michael M., Wibking, Benjamin, Udalski, Andrzej, Poleski, Radek, Mróz, Przemek, Szymański, Michal K., Soszyński, Igor, Pietrukowicz, Paweł, Kozłowski, Szymon, Skowron, Jan, Ulaczyk, Krzysztof, Iwanek, Patryk, Wrona, Marcin, Ryu, Yoon-Hyun, Albrow, Michael D., Chung, Sun-Ju, Gould, Andrew, Han, Cheongho, Hwang, Kyu-Ha, Jung, Youn Kil, Shin, In-Gu, Yang, Hongjing, Zang, Weicheng, Cha, Sang-Mok, Kim, Dong-Jin, Kim, Hyoun-Woo, Kim, Seung-Lee, Lee, Chung-Uk, Lee, Dong-Joo, Lee, Yongseok, Park, Byeong-Gon, Pogge, Richard W., Abe, Fumio, Barry, Richard, Bennett, David P., Bhattacharya, Aparna, Fukui, Akihiko, Hamada, Ryusei, Hamada, Shunya, Hamasaki, Naoto, Hirao, Yuki, Silva, Stela Ishitani, Itow, Yoshitaka, Kirikawa, Rintaro, Koshimoto, Naoki, Matsubara, Yutaka, Miyazaki, Shota, Muraki, Yasushi, Nagai, Tutumi, NUNOTA, Kansuke, Olmschenk, Greg, Ranc, Clement, Rattenbury, Nicholas J., Satoh, Yuki K., Sumi, Takahiro, Suzuki, Daisuke, Tristram, Paul . J., Vandorou, Aikaterini, Yama, Hibiki, Wyrzykowski, Lukasz, Howil, Kornel, Kruszyńska, Katarzyna
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Rybicki, Krzysztof A.
Shvartzvald, Yossi
Yee, Jennifer C.
Novati, Sebastiano Calchi
Ofek, Eran O.
Bond, Ian A.
Beichman, Charles
Bryden, Geoff
Carey, Sean
Henderson, Calen
Zhu, Wei
Fausnaugh, Michael M.
Wibking, Benjamin
Udalski, Andrzej
Poleski, Radek
Mróz, Przemek
Szymański, Michal K.
Soszyński, Igor
Pietrukowicz, Paweł
Kozłowski, Szymon
Skowron, Jan
Ulaczyk, Krzysztof
Iwanek, Patryk
Wrona, Marcin
Ryu, Yoon-Hyun
Albrow, Michael D.
Chung, Sun-Ju
Gould, Andrew
Han, Cheongho
Hwang, Kyu-Ha
Jung, Youn Kil
Shin, In-Gu
Yang, Hongjing
Zang, Weicheng
Cha, Sang-Mok
Kim, Dong-Jin
Kim, Hyoun-Woo
Kim, Seung-Lee
Lee, Chung-Uk
Lee, Dong-Joo
Lee, Yongseok
Park, Byeong-Gon
Pogge, Richard W.
Abe, Fumio
Barry, Richard
Bennett, David P.
Bhattacharya, Aparna
Fukui, Akihiko
Hamada, Ryusei
Hamada, Shunya
Hamasaki, Naoto
Hirao, Yuki
Silva, Stela Ishitani
Itow, Yoshitaka
Kirikawa, Rintaro
Koshimoto, Naoki
Matsubara, Yutaka
Miyazaki, Shota
Muraki, Yasushi
Nagai, Tutumi
NUNOTA, Kansuke
Olmschenk, Greg
Ranc, Clement
Rattenbury, Nicholas J.
Satoh, Yuki K.
Sumi, Takahiro
Suzuki, Daisuke
Tristram, Paul . J.
Vandorou, Aikaterini
Yama, Hibiki
Wyrzykowski, Lukasz
Howil, Kornel
Kruszyńska, Katarzyna
author_facet Rybicki, Krzysztof A.
Shvartzvald, Yossi
Yee, Jennifer C.
Novati, Sebastiano Calchi
Ofek, Eran O.
Bond, Ian A.
Beichman, Charles
Bryden, Geoff
Carey, Sean
Henderson, Calen
Zhu, Wei
Fausnaugh, Michael M.
Wibking, Benjamin
Udalski, Andrzej
Poleski, Radek
Mróz, Przemek
Szymański, Michal K.
Soszyński, Igor
Pietrukowicz, Paweł
Kozłowski, Szymon
Skowron, Jan
Ulaczyk, Krzysztof
Iwanek, Patryk
Wrona, Marcin
Ryu, Yoon-Hyun
Albrow, Michael D.
Chung, Sun-Ju
Gould, Andrew
Han, Cheongho
Hwang, Kyu-Ha
Jung, Youn Kil
Shin, In-Gu
Yang, Hongjing
Zang, Weicheng
Cha, Sang-Mok
Kim, Dong-Jin
Kim, Hyoun-Woo
Kim, Seung-Lee
Lee, Chung-Uk
Lee, Dong-Joo
Lee, Yongseok
Park, Byeong-Gon
Pogge, Richard W.
Abe, Fumio
Barry, Richard
Bennett, David P.
Bhattacharya, Aparna
Fukui, Akihiko
Hamada, Ryusei
Hamada, Shunya
Hamasaki, Naoto
Hirao, Yuki
Silva, Stela Ishitani
Itow, Yoshitaka
Kirikawa, Rintaro
Koshimoto, Naoki
Matsubara, Yutaka
Miyazaki, Shota
Muraki, Yasushi
Nagai, Tutumi
NUNOTA, Kansuke
Olmschenk, Greg
Ranc, Clement
Rattenbury, Nicholas J.
Satoh, Yuki K.
Sumi, Takahiro
Suzuki, Daisuke
Tristram, Paul . J.
Vandorou, Aikaterini
Yama, Hibiki
Wyrzykowski, Lukasz
Howil, Kornel
Kruszyńska, Katarzyna
contents In the pursuit of understanding the population of stellar remnants within the Milky Way, we analyze the sample of $\sim 950$ microlensing events observed by the Spitzer Space Telescope between 2014 and 2019. In this study we focus on a sub-sample of nine microlensing events, selected based on their long timescales, small microlensing parallaxes and joint observations by the Gaia mission, to increase the probability that the chosen lenses are massive and the mass is measurable. Among the selected events we identify lensing black holes and neutron star candidates, with potential confirmation through forthcoming release of the Gaia time-series astrometry in 2026. Utilizing Bayesian analysis and Galactic models, along with the Gaia Data Release 3 proper motion data, four good candidates for dark remnants were identified: OGLE-2016-BLG-0293, OGLE-2018-BLG-0483, OGLE-2018-BLG-0662, and OGLE-2015-BLG-0149, with lens masses of $2.98^{+1.75}_{-1.28}~M_{\odot}$, $4.65^{+3.12}_{-2.08}~M_{\odot}$, $3.15^{+0.66}_{-0.64}~M_{\odot}$ and $1.4^{+0.75}_{-0.55}~M_{\odot}$, respectively. Notably, the first two candidates are expected to exhibit astrometric microlensing signals detectable by Gaia, offering the prospect of validating the lens masses. The methodologies developed in this work will be applied to the full Spitzer microlensing sample, populating and analyzing the time-scale ($t_{\rm E}$) vs. parallax ($π_{\rm E}$) diagram to derive constraints on the population of lenses in general and massive remnants in particular.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_13740
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Analysis of the full Spitzer microlensing sample I: Dark remnant candidates and Gaia predictions
Rybicki, Krzysztof A.
Shvartzvald, Yossi
Yee, Jennifer C.
Novati, Sebastiano Calchi
Ofek, Eran O.
Bond, Ian A.
Beichman, Charles
Bryden, Geoff
Carey, Sean
Henderson, Calen
Zhu, Wei
Fausnaugh, Michael M.
Wibking, Benjamin
Udalski, Andrzej
Poleski, Radek
Mróz, Przemek
Szymański, Michal K.
Soszyński, Igor
Pietrukowicz, Paweł
Kozłowski, Szymon
Skowron, Jan
Ulaczyk, Krzysztof
Iwanek, Patryk
Wrona, Marcin
Ryu, Yoon-Hyun
Albrow, Michael D.
Chung, Sun-Ju
Gould, Andrew
Han, Cheongho
Hwang, Kyu-Ha
Jung, Youn Kil
Shin, In-Gu
Yang, Hongjing
Zang, Weicheng
Cha, Sang-Mok
Kim, Dong-Jin
Kim, Hyoun-Woo
Kim, Seung-Lee
Lee, Chung-Uk
Lee, Dong-Joo
Lee, Yongseok
Park, Byeong-Gon
Pogge, Richard W.
Abe, Fumio
Barry, Richard
Bennett, David P.
Bhattacharya, Aparna
Fukui, Akihiko
Hamada, Ryusei
Hamada, Shunya
Hamasaki, Naoto
Hirao, Yuki
Silva, Stela Ishitani
Itow, Yoshitaka
Kirikawa, Rintaro
Koshimoto, Naoki
Matsubara, Yutaka
Miyazaki, Shota
Muraki, Yasushi
Nagai, Tutumi
NUNOTA, Kansuke
Olmschenk, Greg
Ranc, Clement
Rattenbury, Nicholas J.
Satoh, Yuki K.
Sumi, Takahiro
Suzuki, Daisuke
Tristram, Paul . J.
Vandorou, Aikaterini
Yama, Hibiki
Wyrzykowski, Lukasz
Howil, Kornel
Kruszyńska, Katarzyna
Astrophysics of Galaxies
Solar and Stellar Astrophysics
In the pursuit of understanding the population of stellar remnants within the Milky Way, we analyze the sample of $\sim 950$ microlensing events observed by the Spitzer Space Telescope between 2014 and 2019. In this study we focus on a sub-sample of nine microlensing events, selected based on their long timescales, small microlensing parallaxes and joint observations by the Gaia mission, to increase the probability that the chosen lenses are massive and the mass is measurable. Among the selected events we identify lensing black holes and neutron star candidates, with potential confirmation through forthcoming release of the Gaia time-series astrometry in 2026. Utilizing Bayesian analysis and Galactic models, along with the Gaia Data Release 3 proper motion data, four good candidates for dark remnants were identified: OGLE-2016-BLG-0293, OGLE-2018-BLG-0483, OGLE-2018-BLG-0662, and OGLE-2015-BLG-0149, with lens masses of $2.98^{+1.75}_{-1.28}~M_{\odot}$, $4.65^{+3.12}_{-2.08}~M_{\odot}$, $3.15^{+0.66}_{-0.64}~M_{\odot}$ and $1.4^{+0.75}_{-0.55}~M_{\odot}$, respectively. Notably, the first two candidates are expected to exhibit astrometric microlensing signals detectable by Gaia, offering the prospect of validating the lens masses. The methodologies developed in this work will be applied to the full Spitzer microlensing sample, populating and analyzing the time-scale ($t_{\rm E}$) vs. parallax ($π_{\rm E}$) diagram to derive constraints on the population of lenses in general and massive remnants in particular.
title Analysis of the full Spitzer microlensing sample I: Dark remnant candidates and Gaia predictions
topic Astrophysics of Galaxies
Solar and Stellar Astrophysics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.13740