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Hauptverfasser: Meng, Zizhuo, Li, Boyu, Fan, Xuhui, Li, Zhidong, Wang, Yang, Chen, Fang, Zhou, Feng
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.16161
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author Meng, Zizhuo
Li, Boyu
Fan, Xuhui
Li, Zhidong
Wang, Yang
Chen, Fang
Zhou, Feng
author_facet Meng, Zizhuo
Li, Boyu
Fan, Xuhui
Li, Zhidong
Wang, Yang
Chen, Fang
Zhou, Feng
contents The classical temporal point process (TPP) constructs an intensity function by taking the occurrence times into account. Nevertheless, occurrence time may not be the only relevant factor, other contextual data, termed covariates, may also impact the event evolution. Incorporating such covariates into the model is beneficial, while distinguishing their relevance to the event dynamics is of great practical significance. In this work, we propose a Transformer-based covariate temporal point process (TransFeat-TPP) model to improve the interpretability of deep covariate-TPPs while maintaining powerful expressiveness. TransFeat-TPP can effectively model complex relationships between events and covariates, and provide enhanced interpretability by discerning the importance of various covariates. Experimental results on synthetic and real datasets demonstrate improved prediction accuracy and consistently interpretable feature importance when compared to existing deep covariate-TPPs.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_16161
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle TransFeat-TPP: An Interpretable Deep Covariate Temporal Point Processes
Meng, Zizhuo
Li, Boyu
Fan, Xuhui
Li, Zhidong
Wang, Yang
Chen, Fang
Zhou, Feng
Machine Learning
The classical temporal point process (TPP) constructs an intensity function by taking the occurrence times into account. Nevertheless, occurrence time may not be the only relevant factor, other contextual data, termed covariates, may also impact the event evolution. Incorporating such covariates into the model is beneficial, while distinguishing their relevance to the event dynamics is of great practical significance. In this work, we propose a Transformer-based covariate temporal point process (TransFeat-TPP) model to improve the interpretability of deep covariate-TPPs while maintaining powerful expressiveness. TransFeat-TPP can effectively model complex relationships between events and covariates, and provide enhanced interpretability by discerning the importance of various covariates. Experimental results on synthetic and real datasets demonstrate improved prediction accuracy and consistently interpretable feature importance when compared to existing deep covariate-TPPs.
title TransFeat-TPP: An Interpretable Deep Covariate Temporal Point Processes
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.16161