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Main Authors: Benkő, Zsigmond, Varga, Bálint, Stippinger, Marcell, Somogyvári, Zoltán
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.20694
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author Benkő, Zsigmond
Varga, Bálint
Stippinger, Marcell
Somogyvári, Zoltán
author_facet Benkő, Zsigmond
Varga, Bálint
Stippinger, Marcell
Somogyvári, Zoltán
contents Understanding causal relationships within a system is crucial for uncovering its underlying mechanisms. Causal discovery methods, which facilitate the construction of such models from time-series data, hold the potential to significantly advance scientific and engineering fields. This study introduces the Cross-Mapping Coherence (CMC) method, designed to reveal causal connections in the frequency domain between time series. CMC builds upon nonlinear state-space reconstruction and extends the Convergent Cross-Mapping algorithm to the frequency domain by utilizing coherence metrics for evaluation. We tested the Cross-Mapping Coherence method using simulations of logistic maps, Lorenz systems, Kuramoto oscillators, and the Wilson-Cowan model of the visual cortex. CMC accurately identified the direction of causal connections in all simulated scenarios. When applied to the Wilson-Cowan model, CMC yielded consistent results similar to spectral Granger causality. Furthermore, CMC exhibits high sensitivity in detecting weak connections, demonstrates sample efficiency, and maintains robustness in the presence of noise. In conclusion, the capability to determine directed causal influences across different frequency bands allows CMC to provide valuable insights into the dynamics of complex, nonlinear systems.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_20694
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Detecting Causality in the Frequency Domain with Cross-Mapping Coherence
Benkő, Zsigmond
Varga, Bálint
Stippinger, Marcell
Somogyvári, Zoltán
Machine Learning
Chaotic Dynamics
Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
J.2; J.3; I.5
Understanding causal relationships within a system is crucial for uncovering its underlying mechanisms. Causal discovery methods, which facilitate the construction of such models from time-series data, hold the potential to significantly advance scientific and engineering fields. This study introduces the Cross-Mapping Coherence (CMC) method, designed to reveal causal connections in the frequency domain between time series. CMC builds upon nonlinear state-space reconstruction and extends the Convergent Cross-Mapping algorithm to the frequency domain by utilizing coherence metrics for evaluation. We tested the Cross-Mapping Coherence method using simulations of logistic maps, Lorenz systems, Kuramoto oscillators, and the Wilson-Cowan model of the visual cortex. CMC accurately identified the direction of causal connections in all simulated scenarios. When applied to the Wilson-Cowan model, CMC yielded consistent results similar to spectral Granger causality. Furthermore, CMC exhibits high sensitivity in detecting weak connections, demonstrates sample efficiency, and maintains robustness in the presence of noise. In conclusion, the capability to determine directed causal influences across different frequency bands allows CMC to provide valuable insights into the dynamics of complex, nonlinear systems.
title Detecting Causality in the Frequency Domain with Cross-Mapping Coherence
topic Machine Learning
Chaotic Dynamics
Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
J.2; J.3; I.5
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.20694