Unveiling land use dynamics: Insights from a hierarchical Bayesian spatio-temporal modelling of Compositional Data

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Auteurs principaux: Figueira, Mario, Guarner, Carmen, Conesa, David, López-Quílez, Antonio, Krisztin, Tamás
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Figueira, Mario
Guarner, Carmen
Conesa, David
López-Quílez, Antonio
Krisztin, Tamás
author_facet Figueira, Mario
Guarner, Carmen
Conesa, David
López-Quílez, Antonio
Krisztin, Tamás
contents Changes in land use patterns have significant environmental and socioeconomic impacts, making it crucial for policymakers to understand their causes and consequences. This study, part of the European LAMASUS (Land Management for Sustainability) project, aims to support the EU's climate neutrality target by developing a governance model through collaboration between policymakers, land users, and researchers. We present a methodological synthesis for treating land use data using a Bayesian approach within spatial and spatio-temporal modeling frameworks. The study tackles the challenges of analyzing land use changes, particularly the presence of zero values and computational issues with large datasets. It introduces joint model structures to address zeros and employs sequential inference and consensus methods for Big Data problems. Spatial downscaling models approximate smaller scales from aggregated data, circumventing high-resolution data complications. We explore Beta regression and Compositional Data Analysis (CoDa) for land use data, review relevant spatial and spatio-temporal models, and present strategies for handling zeros. The paper demonstrates the implementation of key models, downscaling techniques, and solutions to Big Data challenges with examples from simulated data and the LAMASUS project, providing a comprehensive framework for understanding and managing land use changes.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2407_21695
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Unveiling land use dynamics: Insights from a hierarchical Bayesian spatio-temporal modelling of Compositional Data
Figueira, Mario
Guarner, Carmen
Conesa, David
López-Quílez, Antonio
Krisztin, Tamás
Methodology
62
Changes in land use patterns have significant environmental and socioeconomic impacts, making it crucial for policymakers to understand their causes and consequences. This study, part of the European LAMASUS (Land Management for Sustainability) project, aims to support the EU's climate neutrality target by developing a governance model through collaboration between policymakers, land users, and researchers. We present a methodological synthesis for treating land use data using a Bayesian approach within spatial and spatio-temporal modeling frameworks. The study tackles the challenges of analyzing land use changes, particularly the presence of zero values and computational issues with large datasets. It introduces joint model structures to address zeros and employs sequential inference and consensus methods for Big Data problems. Spatial downscaling models approximate smaller scales from aggregated data, circumventing high-resolution data complications. We explore Beta regression and Compositional Data Analysis (CoDa) for land use data, review relevant spatial and spatio-temporal models, and present strategies for handling zeros. The paper demonstrates the implementation of key models, downscaling techniques, and solutions to Big Data challenges with examples from simulated data and the LAMASUS project, providing a comprehensive framework for understanding and managing land use changes.
title Unveiling land use dynamics: Insights from a hierarchical Bayesian spatio-temporal modelling of Compositional Data
topic Methodology
62
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.21695