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Main Authors: Hizen, Yoichi, Kikuchi, Kazuya, Koriyama, Yukio, Masuda, Takehito
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.00265
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author Hizen, Yoichi
Kikuchi, Kazuya
Koriyama, Yukio
Masuda, Takehito
author_facet Hizen, Yoichi
Kikuchi, Kazuya
Koriyama, Yukio
Masuda, Takehito
contents We experimentally study voter turnout in two-tier elections when the electorate consists of multiple groups, such as states. Votes are aggregated within the groups by the winner-take-all rule or the proportional rule, and the group-level decisions are combined to determine the winner. We observe that, compared with the theoretical prediction, turnout is significantly lower in the minority camp (the Titanic effect) and significantly higher in the majority camp (the behavioral bandwagon effect), and these effects are stronger under the proportional rule than under the winner-take-all rule. As a result, the distribution of voter welfare becomes more unequal than theoretically predicted, and this welfare effect is stronger under the proportional rule than under the winner-take-all rule.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2408_00265
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Jumping on the bandwagon and off the Titanic: an experimental study of turnout in two-tier voting
Hizen, Yoichi
Kikuchi, Kazuya
Koriyama, Yukio
Masuda, Takehito
General Economics
Economics
We experimentally study voter turnout in two-tier elections when the electorate consists of multiple groups, such as states. Votes are aggregated within the groups by the winner-take-all rule or the proportional rule, and the group-level decisions are combined to determine the winner. We observe that, compared with the theoretical prediction, turnout is significantly lower in the minority camp (the Titanic effect) and significantly higher in the majority camp (the behavioral bandwagon effect), and these effects are stronger under the proportional rule than under the winner-take-all rule. As a result, the distribution of voter welfare becomes more unequal than theoretically predicted, and this welfare effect is stronger under the proportional rule than under the winner-take-all rule.
title Jumping on the bandwagon and off the Titanic: an experimental study of turnout in two-tier voting
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.00265