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Main Authors: Chen, Dayin, Shi, Xiaodan, Jiang, Mingkun, Zhang, Haoran, Zhang, Dongxiao, Chen, Yuntian, Yan, Jinyue
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.00601
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author Chen, Dayin
Shi, Xiaodan
Jiang, Mingkun
Zhang, Haoran
Zhang, Dongxiao
Chen, Yuntian
Yan, Jinyue
author_facet Chen, Dayin
Shi, Xiaodan
Jiang, Mingkun
Zhang, Haoran
Zhang, Dongxiao
Chen, Yuntian
Yan, Jinyue
contents Photovoltaic power forecasting (PVPF) is a critical area in time series forecasting (TSF), enabling the efficient utilization of solar energy. With advancements in machine learning and deep learning, various models have been applied to PVPF tasks. However, constructing an optimal predictive architecture for specific PVPF tasks remains challenging, as it requires cross-domain knowledge and significant labor costs. To address this challenge, we introduce AutoPV, a novel framework for the automated search and construction of PVPF models based on neural architecture search (NAS) technology. We develop a brand new NAS search space that incorporates various data processing techniques from state-of-the-art (SOTA) TSF models and typical PVPF deep learning models. The effectiveness of AutoPV is evaluated on diverse PVPF tasks using a dataset from the Daqing Photovoltaic Station in China. Experimental results demonstrate that AutoPV can complete the predictive architecture construction process in a relatively short time, and the newly constructed architecture is superior to SOTA predefined models. This work bridges the gap in applying NAS to TSF problems, assisting non-experts and industries in automatically designing effective PVPF models.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2408_00601
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle AutoPV: Automatically Design Your Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Model
Chen, Dayin
Shi, Xiaodan
Jiang, Mingkun
Zhang, Haoran
Zhang, Dongxiao
Chen, Yuntian
Yan, Jinyue
Machine Learning
Photovoltaic power forecasting (PVPF) is a critical area in time series forecasting (TSF), enabling the efficient utilization of solar energy. With advancements in machine learning and deep learning, various models have been applied to PVPF tasks. However, constructing an optimal predictive architecture for specific PVPF tasks remains challenging, as it requires cross-domain knowledge and significant labor costs. To address this challenge, we introduce AutoPV, a novel framework for the automated search and construction of PVPF models based on neural architecture search (NAS) technology. We develop a brand new NAS search space that incorporates various data processing techniques from state-of-the-art (SOTA) TSF models and typical PVPF deep learning models. The effectiveness of AutoPV is evaluated on diverse PVPF tasks using a dataset from the Daqing Photovoltaic Station in China. Experimental results demonstrate that AutoPV can complete the predictive architecture construction process in a relatively short time, and the newly constructed architecture is superior to SOTA predefined models. This work bridges the gap in applying NAS to TSF problems, assisting non-experts and industries in automatically designing effective PVPF models.
title AutoPV: Automatically Design Your Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Model
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.00601