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Main Authors: Moorhead, Althea V., Cooke, William J., Brown, Peter G., Campbell-Brown, Margaret D.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.04612
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author Moorhead, Althea V.
Cooke, William J.
Brown, Peter G.
Campbell-Brown, Margaret D.
author_facet Moorhead, Althea V.
Cooke, William J.
Brown, Peter G.
Campbell-Brown, Margaret D.
contents Although the risk posed to spacecraft due to meteoroid impacts is dominated by sporadic meteoroids, meteor showers can raise this risk for short periods of time. NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office issues meteor shower forecasts that describe these periods of elevated risk, primarily for the purpose of helping plan extravehicular activities. These forecasts are constructed using a list of meteor shower parameters that has evolved over time to include newly discovered showers and incorporate improved measurements of their characteristics. However, at this point in time, more than a thousand meteor showers have been reported by researchers, many of which are extremely minor, are unconfirmed, or lack measurements of critical parameters. Thus, a comprehensive approach is no longer feasible. In this report we present a quantitative criterion for a potentially hazardous meteor shower and apply this criterion to the list of established meteor showers in order to determine which showers should be included in our annual forecasts.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2408_04612
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The threshold at which a meteor shower becomes hazardous to spacecraft
Moorhead, Althea V.
Cooke, William J.
Brown, Peter G.
Campbell-Brown, Margaret D.
Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
Although the risk posed to spacecraft due to meteoroid impacts is dominated by sporadic meteoroids, meteor showers can raise this risk for short periods of time. NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office issues meteor shower forecasts that describe these periods of elevated risk, primarily for the purpose of helping plan extravehicular activities. These forecasts are constructed using a list of meteor shower parameters that has evolved over time to include newly discovered showers and incorporate improved measurements of their characteristics. However, at this point in time, more than a thousand meteor showers have been reported by researchers, many of which are extremely minor, are unconfirmed, or lack measurements of critical parameters. Thus, a comprehensive approach is no longer feasible. In this report we present a quantitative criterion for a potentially hazardous meteor shower and apply this criterion to the list of established meteor showers in order to determine which showers should be included in our annual forecasts.
title The threshold at which a meteor shower becomes hazardous to spacecraft
topic Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.04612