Generalized Encouragement-Based Instrumental Variables for Counterfactual Regression

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Wu, Anpeng, Kuang, Kun, Xiong, Ruoxuan, Chen, Xiangwei, Sun, Zexu, Wu, Fei, Zhang, Kun
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Wu, Anpeng
Kuang, Kun
Xiong, Ruoxuan
Chen, Xiangwei
Sun, Zexu
Wu, Fei
Zhang, Kun
author_facet Wu, Anpeng
Kuang, Kun
Xiong, Ruoxuan
Chen, Xiangwei
Sun, Zexu
Wu, Fei
Zhang, Kun
contents In causal inference, encouragement designs (EDs) are widely used to analyze causal effects, when randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are impractical or compliance to treatment cannot be perfectly enforced. Unlike RCTs, which directly allocate treatments, EDs randomly assign encouragement policies that positively motivate individuals to engage in a specific treatment. These random encouragements act as instrumental variables (IVs), facilitating the identification of causal effects through leveraging exogenous perturbations in discrete treatment scenarios. However, real-world applications of encouragement designs often face challenges such as incomplete randomization, limited experimental data, and significantly fewer encouragements compared to treatments, hindering precise causal effect estimation. To address this, this paper introduces novel theories and algorithms for identifying the Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) using variations in encouragement. Further, by leveraging both observational and encouragement data, we propose a generalized IV estimator, named Encouragement-based Counterfactual Regression (EnCounteR), to effectively estimate the causal effects. Extensive experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate the superiority of EnCounteR over existing methods.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2408_05428
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Generalized Encouragement-Based Instrumental Variables for Counterfactual Regression
Wu, Anpeng
Kuang, Kun
Xiong, Ruoxuan
Chen, Xiangwei
Sun, Zexu
Wu, Fei
Zhang, Kun
Machine Learning
Methodology
In causal inference, encouragement designs (EDs) are widely used to analyze causal effects, when randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are impractical or compliance to treatment cannot be perfectly enforced. Unlike RCTs, which directly allocate treatments, EDs randomly assign encouragement policies that positively motivate individuals to engage in a specific treatment. These random encouragements act as instrumental variables (IVs), facilitating the identification of causal effects through leveraging exogenous perturbations in discrete treatment scenarios. However, real-world applications of encouragement designs often face challenges such as incomplete randomization, limited experimental data, and significantly fewer encouragements compared to treatments, hindering precise causal effect estimation. To address this, this paper introduces novel theories and algorithms for identifying the Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) using variations in encouragement. Further, by leveraging both observational and encouragement data, we propose a generalized IV estimator, named Encouragement-based Counterfactual Regression (EnCounteR), to effectively estimate the causal effects. Extensive experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate the superiority of EnCounteR over existing methods.
title Generalized Encouragement-Based Instrumental Variables for Counterfactual Regression
topic Machine Learning
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.05428