Adaptive Multilevel Stochastic Approximation of the Value-at-Risk

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Crépey, Stéphane, Frikha, Noufel, Louzi, Azar, Spence, Jonathan
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Crépey, Stéphane
Frikha, Noufel
Louzi, Azar
Spence, Jonathan
author_facet Crépey, Stéphane
Frikha, Noufel
Louzi, Azar
Spence, Jonathan
contents Crépey, Frikha, and Louzi (2025) introduced a multilevel stochastic approximation scheme to compute the value-at-risk of a financial loss that is only simulatable by Monte Carlo. The best complexity of the scheme is in O($\varepsilon^{-\frac52}$), $\varepsilon>0$ being a prescribed accuracy, which is suboptimal compared to the canonical multilevel Monte Carlo performance. This suboptimality stems from the discontinuity ofthe Heaviside function involved in the biased stochastic gradient that is recursively evaluated to derive the value-at-risk. To mitigate this issue, this paper proposes and analyzes a multilevel stochastic approximation algorithm that adaptively selects the number of inner samples at each level, and proves that its best complexity is in O($\varepsilon^{-2}|\ln{\varepsilon}|^\frac52$). Our theoretical analysis is exemplified through numerical experiments.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2408_06531
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Adaptive Multilevel Stochastic Approximation of the Value-at-Risk
Crépey, Stéphane
Frikha, Noufel
Louzi, Azar
Spence, Jonathan
Risk Management
Probability
Computational Finance
65C05, 62L20, 62G32, 91G60
Crépey, Frikha, and Louzi (2025) introduced a multilevel stochastic approximation scheme to compute the value-at-risk of a financial loss that is only simulatable by Monte Carlo. The best complexity of the scheme is in O($\varepsilon^{-\frac52}$), $\varepsilon>0$ being a prescribed accuracy, which is suboptimal compared to the canonical multilevel Monte Carlo performance. This suboptimality stems from the discontinuity ofthe Heaviside function involved in the biased stochastic gradient that is recursively evaluated to derive the value-at-risk. To mitigate this issue, this paper proposes and analyzes a multilevel stochastic approximation algorithm that adaptively selects the number of inner samples at each level, and proves that its best complexity is in O($\varepsilon^{-2}|\ln{\varepsilon}|^\frac52$). Our theoretical analysis is exemplified through numerical experiments.
title Adaptive Multilevel Stochastic Approximation of the Value-at-Risk
topic Risk Management
Probability
Computational Finance
65C05, 62L20, 62G32, 91G60
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.06531