An Empirical Examination of Balancing Strategy for Counterfactual Estimation on Time Series

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Huang, Qiang, Meng, Chuizheng, Cao, Defu, Huang, Biwei, Chang, Yi, Liu, Yan
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Huang, Qiang
Meng, Chuizheng
Cao, Defu
Huang, Biwei
Chang, Yi
Liu, Yan
author_facet Huang, Qiang
Meng, Chuizheng
Cao, Defu
Huang, Biwei
Chang, Yi
Liu, Yan
contents Counterfactual estimation from observations represents a critical endeavor in numerous application fields, such as healthcare and finance, with the primary challenge being the mitigation of treatment bias. The balancing strategy aimed at reducing covariate disparities between different treatment groups serves as a universal solution. However, when it comes to the time series data, the effectiveness of balancing strategies remains an open question, with a thorough analysis of the robustness and applicability of balancing strategies still lacking. This paper revisits counterfactual estimation in the temporal setting and provides a brief overview of recent advancements in balancing strategies. More importantly, we conduct a critical empirical examination for the effectiveness of the balancing strategies within the realm of temporal counterfactual estimation in various settings on multiple datasets. Our findings could be of significant interest to researchers and practitioners and call for a reexamination of the balancing strategy in time series settings.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2408_08815
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle An Empirical Examination of Balancing Strategy for Counterfactual Estimation on Time Series
Huang, Qiang
Meng, Chuizheng
Cao, Defu
Huang, Biwei
Chang, Yi
Liu, Yan
Machine Learning
Counterfactual estimation from observations represents a critical endeavor in numerous application fields, such as healthcare and finance, with the primary challenge being the mitigation of treatment bias. The balancing strategy aimed at reducing covariate disparities between different treatment groups serves as a universal solution. However, when it comes to the time series data, the effectiveness of balancing strategies remains an open question, with a thorough analysis of the robustness and applicability of balancing strategies still lacking. This paper revisits counterfactual estimation in the temporal setting and provides a brief overview of recent advancements in balancing strategies. More importantly, we conduct a critical empirical examination for the effectiveness of the balancing strategies within the realm of temporal counterfactual estimation in various settings on multiple datasets. Our findings could be of significant interest to researchers and practitioners and call for a reexamination of the balancing strategy in time series settings.
title An Empirical Examination of Balancing Strategy for Counterfactual Estimation on Time Series
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.08815