Cover Image

Uncertainty Quantification of Surrogate Models using Conformal Prediction

Fuente: arXiv

Saved in:

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Gopakumar, Vignesh, Gray, Ander, Oskarsson, Joel, Zanisi, Lorenzo, Giles, Daniel, Kusner, Matt J., Pamela, Stanislas, Deisenroth, Marc Peter
Format:	Preprint
Published:	2024
Subjects:	Artificial Intelligence Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics Plasma Physics
Online Access:	Acceder al recurso
Tags:	Add Tag No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!

Similar Items

Calibrated Physics-Informed Uncertainty Quantification
by: Gopakumar, Vignesh, et al.
Published: (2025)

Plasma Surrogate Modelling using Fourier Neural Operators
by: Gopakumar, Vignesh, et al.
Published: (2023)

Calculating radio emissions of positive streamer phenomena using 3D simulations
by: Malla, Hemaditya, et al.
Published: (2024)

Variations of the Near-Surface Electric field measured at Aragats during Geomagnetic Storms
by: Chilingarian, A.
Published: (2025)

Lightning as a natural accelerator of relativistic particles and a source of synchrotron radiation
by: Petrov, N. I.
Published: (2021)

Valid Error Bars for Neural Weather Models using Conformal Prediction
by: Gopakumar, Vignesh, et al.
Published: (2024)

Underlying Physical Mechanisms in Upward Positive Flashes
by: Oregel-Chaumont, Toma, et al.
Published: (2025)

Similarities in the Initiation of Upward Positive and Downward Negative Lightning Flashes
by: Oregel-Chaumont, Toma, et al.
Published: (2025)

New Physical Mechanism for Lightning
by: Artekha, S. N., et al.
Published: (2024)

On the role of electromagnetic phenomena in some atmospheric processes
by: Artekha, S. N., et al.
Published: (2024)

Electrostatic Disturbances of Aerosol Atmospheric Plasma: Beaded Lightning
by: Izhovkina, N. I., et al.
Published: (2024)

Laser-guided lightning
by: Houard, Aurélien, et al.
Published: (2022)

Statistical Characteristics of the Electron Isotropy Boundary
by: Wilkins, Colin, et al.
Published: (2023)

Spatiotemporal spectral transfers in fluid dynamics
by: Mondal, Avik, et al.
Published: (2024)

Simultaneous observations of multiple ELVES and SPRITES at the Pierre Auger Observatory
by: Mussa, Roberto
Published: (2025)

Uncertainty Quantification in Forecast Comparisons
by: Pohle, Marc-Oliver, et al.
Published: (2026)

Epistemic and Aleatoric Uncertainty Quantification in Weather and Climate Models
by: Mansfield, Laura A., et al.
Published: (2025)

Am I Confused or Is This Confusing?: Deep Ensembles for ENSO Uncertainty Quantification
by: McAfee, Devin M., et al.
Published: (2025)

Discharge at the Microscale: Using Optical Tweezers to Observe Muon-Induced Discharges of a Levitated Microparticle in Air
by: Stoellner, Andrea, et al.
Published: (2026)

Diffusion-LAM: Probabilistic Limited Area Weather Forecasting with Diffusion
by: Larsson, Erik, et al.
Published: (2025)

Continuous Ensemble Weather Forecasting with Diffusion models
by: Andrae, Martin, et al.
Published: (2024)

Winter Precipitation Type Diagnosis and Uncertainty Quantification with a Physically Consistent Machine Learning Method
by: Becker, Charlie, et al.
Published: (2025)

Calibrated Conformal Prediction Intervals for Microphysical Process Rates
by: Simm, Miriam, et al.
Published: (2026)

Learning Data-driven Surrogate and Correction Models for Satellite Observations in Numerical Weather Prediction
by: Buono, Gian Luca, et al.
Published: (2026)

Njord: A Probabilistic Graph Neural Network for Ensemble Ocean Forecasting
by: Holmberg, Daniel, et al.
Published: (2026)

Meteorologically-Informed Adaptive Conformal Prediction for Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasting
by: Chen, Xuepeng, et al.
Published: (2025)

CoDiCast: Conditional Diffusion Model for Global Weather Prediction with Uncertainty Quantification
by: Shi, Jimeng, et al.
Published: (2024)

On the Predictive Skill of Artificial Intelligence-based Weather Models for Extreme Events using Uncertainty Quantification
by: Almeida, Rodrigo, et al.
Published: (2025)

Learning Surrogate Rainfall-driven Inundation Models with Few Data
by: Mirhoseini, Marzieh Alireza
Published: (2024)

Parametric Sensitivities of a Wind-driven Baroclinic Ocean Using Neural Surrogates
by: Sun, Yixuan, et al.
Published: (2024)

Quantum Bayesian Optimization for the Automatic Tuning of Lorenz-96 as a Surrogate Climate Model
by: Christiansen, Paul J., et al.
Published: (2025)

Uncertainty Quantification of Wind Gust Predictions in the Northeast United States: An Evidential Neural Network and Explainable Artificial Intelligence Approach
by: Jahan, Israt, et al.
Published: (2025)

Medium-scale thermospheric gravity waves in the high-resolution Whole Atmosphere Model: Seasonal, local time, and longitudinal variations
by: Malhotra, Garima, et al.
Published: (2024)

An Efficient Regional Storm Surge Surrogate Model Training Strategy Under Evolving Landscape and Climate Scenarios
by: Liu, Ziyue, et al.
Published: (2025)

Observation-Guided Neural Surrogate Learning for Scientific Simulation Emulation: A Single-Gauge Flood-Inundation Proof of Concept
by: Mirhoseini, Marzieh Alireza
Published: (2026)

Accurate and Efficient Hybrid-Ensemble Atmospheric Data Assimilation in Latent Space with Uncertainty Quantification
by: Fan, Hang, et al.
Published: (2026)

A Satellite Remote Sensing and Doppler LiDAR-based Framework for Evaluating Mesoscale Flows Driven by Surface Heterogeneity
by: Waterman, Tyler, et al.
Published: (2025)

Satellite-Based Quantification of Contrail Radiative Forcing over Europe: A Two-Week Analysis of Aviation-Induced Climate Effects
by: Ortiz, Irene, et al.
Published: (2024)

The Australian Identification, Nowcasting and Tracking Algorithm (A.I.N.T.)
by: Brook, Jordan, et al.
Published: (2025)

Constraining Atmospheric River Uncertainty Using Instantaneous Poleward Latent Heat Transport
by: Mahesh, Ankur, et al.
Published: (2025)