High-Frequency Trading Liquidity Analysis | Application of Machine Learning Classification

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Bhatia, Sid, Peri, Sidharth, Friedman, Sam, Malen, Michelle
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Bhatia, Sid
Peri, Sidharth
Friedman, Sam
Malen, Michelle
author_facet Bhatia, Sid
Peri, Sidharth
Friedman, Sam
Malen, Michelle
contents This research presents a comprehensive framework for analyzing liquidity in financial markets, particularly in the context of high-frequency trading. By leveraging advanced machine learning classification techniques, including Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine, and Random Forest, the study aims to predict minute-level price movements using an extensive set of liquidity metrics derived from the Trade and Quote (TAQ) data. The findings reveal that employing a broad spectrum of liquidity measures yields higher predictive accuracy compared to models utilizing a reduced subset of features. Key liquidity metrics, such as Liquidity Ratio, Flow Ratio, and Turnover, consistently emerged as significant predictors across all models, with the Random Forest algorithm demonstrating superior accuracy. This study not only underscores the critical role of liquidity in market stability and transaction costs but also highlights the complexities involved in short-interval market predictions. The research suggests that a comprehensive set of liquidity measures is essential for accurate prediction, and proposes future work to validate these findings across different stock datasets to assess their generalizability.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2408_10016
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle High-Frequency Trading Liquidity Analysis | Application of Machine Learning Classification
Bhatia, Sid
Peri, Sidharth
Friedman, Sam
Malen, Michelle
Trading and Market Microstructure
This research presents a comprehensive framework for analyzing liquidity in financial markets, particularly in the context of high-frequency trading. By leveraging advanced machine learning classification techniques, including Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine, and Random Forest, the study aims to predict minute-level price movements using an extensive set of liquidity metrics derived from the Trade and Quote (TAQ) data. The findings reveal that employing a broad spectrum of liquidity measures yields higher predictive accuracy compared to models utilizing a reduced subset of features. Key liquidity metrics, such as Liquidity Ratio, Flow Ratio, and Turnover, consistently emerged as significant predictors across all models, with the Random Forest algorithm demonstrating superior accuracy. This study not only underscores the critical role of liquidity in market stability and transaction costs but also highlights the complexities involved in short-interval market predictions. The research suggests that a comprehensive set of liquidity measures is essential for accurate prediction, and proposes future work to validate these findings across different stock datasets to assess their generalizability.
title High-Frequency Trading Liquidity Analysis | Application of Machine Learning Classification
topic Trading and Market Microstructure
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.10016