QuaCK-TSF: Quantum-Classical Kernelized Time Series Forecasting

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Aaraba, Abdallah, Cherkaoui, Soumaya, Ahmad, Ola, Laprade, Jean-Frédéric, Nahman-Lévesque, Olivier, Vieloszynski, Alexis, Wang, Shengrui
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Aaraba, Abdallah
Cherkaoui, Soumaya
Ahmad, Ola
Laprade, Jean-Frédéric
Nahman-Lévesque, Olivier
Vieloszynski, Alexis
Wang, Shengrui
author_facet Aaraba, Abdallah
Cherkaoui, Soumaya
Ahmad, Ola
Laprade, Jean-Frédéric
Nahman-Lévesque, Olivier
Vieloszynski, Alexis
Wang, Shengrui
contents Forecasting in probabilistic time series is a complex endeavor that extends beyond predicting future values to also quantifying the uncertainty inherent in these predictions. Gaussian process regression stands out as a Bayesian machine learning technique adept at addressing this multifaceted challenge. This paper introduces a novel approach that blends the robustness of this Bayesian technique with the nuanced insights provided by the kernel perspective on quantum models, aimed at advancing quantum kernelized probabilistic forecasting. We incorporate a quantum feature map inspired by Ising interactions and demonstrate its effectiveness in capturing the temporal dependencies critical for precise forecasting. The optimization of our model's hyperparameters circumvents the need for computationally intensive gradient descent by employing gradient-free Bayesian optimization. Comparative benchmarks against established classical kernel models are provided, affirming that our quantum-enhanced approach achieves competitive performance.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2408_12007
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle QuaCK-TSF: Quantum-Classical Kernelized Time Series Forecasting
Aaraba, Abdallah
Cherkaoui, Soumaya
Ahmad, Ola
Laprade, Jean-Frédéric
Nahman-Lévesque, Olivier
Vieloszynski, Alexis
Wang, Shengrui
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Forecasting in probabilistic time series is a complex endeavor that extends beyond predicting future values to also quantifying the uncertainty inherent in these predictions. Gaussian process regression stands out as a Bayesian machine learning technique adept at addressing this multifaceted challenge. This paper introduces a novel approach that blends the robustness of this Bayesian technique with the nuanced insights provided by the kernel perspective on quantum models, aimed at advancing quantum kernelized probabilistic forecasting. We incorporate a quantum feature map inspired by Ising interactions and demonstrate its effectiveness in capturing the temporal dependencies critical for precise forecasting. The optimization of our model's hyperparameters circumvents the need for computationally intensive gradient descent by employing gradient-free Bayesian optimization. Comparative benchmarks against established classical kernel models are provided, affirming that our quantum-enhanced approach achieves competitive performance.
title QuaCK-TSF: Quantum-Classical Kernelized Time Series Forecasting
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.12007