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| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Format: | Preprint |
| Published: |
2024
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.12365 |
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| _version_ | 1866911999546359808 |
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| author | Karagappa, Apoorva Betz, Pawandeep Kaur Gilg, Jonas Zeumer, Moritz Gerndt, Andreas Preim, Bernhard |
| author_facet | Karagappa, Apoorva Betz, Pawandeep Kaur Gilg, Jonas Zeumer, Moritz Gerndt, Andreas Preim, Bernhard |
| contents | As the world increasingly relies on mathematical models for forecasts in different areas, effective communication of uncertainty in time series predictions is important for informed decision making. This study explores how users estimate probabilistic uncertainty in time series predictions under different variants of line charts depicting uncertainty. It examines the role of individual characteristics and the influence of user-reported metrics on uncertainty estimations. By addressing these aspects, this paper aims to enhance the understanding of uncertainty visualization and for improving communication in time series forecast visualizations and the design of prediction data dashboards.As the world increasingly relies on mathematical models for forecasts in different areas, effective communication of uncertainty in time series predictions is important for informed decision making. This study explores how users estimate probabilistic uncertainty in time series predictions under different variants of line charts depicting uncertainty. It examines the role of individual characteristics and the influence of user-reported metrics on uncertainty estimations. By addressing these aspects, this paper aims to enhance the understanding of uncertainty visualization and for improving communication in time series forecast visualizations and the design of prediction data dashboards. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2408_12365 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Enhancing Uncertainty Communication in Time Series Predictions: Insights and Recommendations Karagappa, Apoorva Betz, Pawandeep Kaur Gilg, Jonas Zeumer, Moritz Gerndt, Andreas Preim, Bernhard Human-Computer Interaction Machine Learning As the world increasingly relies on mathematical models for forecasts in different areas, effective communication of uncertainty in time series predictions is important for informed decision making. This study explores how users estimate probabilistic uncertainty in time series predictions under different variants of line charts depicting uncertainty. It examines the role of individual characteristics and the influence of user-reported metrics on uncertainty estimations. By addressing these aspects, this paper aims to enhance the understanding of uncertainty visualization and for improving communication in time series forecast visualizations and the design of prediction data dashboards.As the world increasingly relies on mathematical models for forecasts in different areas, effective communication of uncertainty in time series predictions is important for informed decision making. This study explores how users estimate probabilistic uncertainty in time series predictions under different variants of line charts depicting uncertainty. It examines the role of individual characteristics and the influence of user-reported metrics on uncertainty estimations. By addressing these aspects, this paper aims to enhance the understanding of uncertainty visualization and for improving communication in time series forecast visualizations and the design of prediction data dashboards. |
| title | Enhancing Uncertainty Communication in Time Series Predictions: Insights and Recommendations |
| topic | Human-Computer Interaction Machine Learning |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.12365 |