Efficient fine-tuning of 37-level GraphCast with the Canadian global deterministic analysis

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Author: Subich, Christopher
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Subich, Christopher
author_facet Subich, Christopher
contents This work describes a process for efficiently fine-tuning the GraphCast data-driven forecast model to simulate another analysis system, here the Global Deterministic Prediction System (GDPS) of Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC). Using two years of training data (July 2019 -- December 2021) and 37 GPU-days of computation to tune the 37-level, quarter-degree version of GraphCast, the resulting model significantly outperforms both the unmodified GraphCast and operational forecast, showing significant forecast skill in the troposphere over lead times from 1 to 10 days. This fine-tuning is accomplished through abbreviating DeepMind's original training curriculum for GraphCast, relying on a shorter single-step forecast stage to accomplish the bulk of the adaptation work and consolidating the autoregressive stages into separate 12hr, 1d, 2d, and 3d stages with larger learning rates. Additionally, training over 3d forecasts is split into two sub-steps to conserve host memory while maintaining a strong correlation with training over the full period.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2408_14587
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Efficient fine-tuning of 37-level GraphCast with the Canadian global deterministic analysis
Subich, Christopher
Machine Learning
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
This work describes a process for efficiently fine-tuning the GraphCast data-driven forecast model to simulate another analysis system, here the Global Deterministic Prediction System (GDPS) of Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC). Using two years of training data (July 2019 -- December 2021) and 37 GPU-days of computation to tune the 37-level, quarter-degree version of GraphCast, the resulting model significantly outperforms both the unmodified GraphCast and operational forecast, showing significant forecast skill in the troposphere over lead times from 1 to 10 days. This fine-tuning is accomplished through abbreviating DeepMind's original training curriculum for GraphCast, relying on a shorter single-step forecast stage to accomplish the bulk of the adaptation work and consolidating the autoregressive stages into separate 12hr, 1d, 2d, and 3d stages with larger learning rates. Additionally, training over 3d forecasts is split into two sub-steps to conserve host memory while maintaining a strong correlation with training over the full period.
title Efficient fine-tuning of 37-level GraphCast with the Canadian global deterministic analysis
topic Machine Learning
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.14587