Probabilistic data-driven turbulence closure modeling by assimilating statistics

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteur principal: Ephrati, Sagy
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Ephrati, Sagy
author_facet Ephrati, Sagy
contents A framework for deriving probabilistic data-driven closure models is proposed for coarse-grained numerical simulations of turbulence in statistically stationary state. The approach unites the ideal large-eddy simulation model and data assimilation methods. The method requires a posteriori measured data to define stochastic flow perturbations, which are combined with a Bayesian statistical correction enforcing user-specified statistics extracted from high-fidelity flow snapshots. Thus, it enables computationally cheap ensemble simulations by combining knowledge of the local integration error and knowledge of desired flow statistics. A model example is given for two-dimensional Rayleigh-Bénard convection at Rayleigh number $\mathit{Ra}=10^{10}$, incorporating stochastic perturbations and an ensemble Kalman filtering step in a non-intrusive way. Physical flow dynamics are obtained, whilst kinetic energy spectra and heat flux are accurately reproduced in long-time ensemble forecasts on coarse grids. The model is shown to produce accurate results with as few as 20 high-fidelity flow snapshots as input data.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2408_14838
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Probabilistic data-driven turbulence closure modeling by assimilating statistics
Ephrati, Sagy
Fluid Dynamics
37M05, 37N10, 76F35, 76F55, 76F65, 62P35
A framework for deriving probabilistic data-driven closure models is proposed for coarse-grained numerical simulations of turbulence in statistically stationary state. The approach unites the ideal large-eddy simulation model and data assimilation methods. The method requires a posteriori measured data to define stochastic flow perturbations, which are combined with a Bayesian statistical correction enforcing user-specified statistics extracted from high-fidelity flow snapshots. Thus, it enables computationally cheap ensemble simulations by combining knowledge of the local integration error and knowledge of desired flow statistics. A model example is given for two-dimensional Rayleigh-Bénard convection at Rayleigh number $\mathit{Ra}=10^{10}$, incorporating stochastic perturbations and an ensemble Kalman filtering step in a non-intrusive way. Physical flow dynamics are obtained, whilst kinetic energy spectra and heat flux are accurately reproduced in long-time ensemble forecasts on coarse grids. The model is shown to produce accurate results with as few as 20 high-fidelity flow snapshots as input data.
title Probabilistic data-driven turbulence closure modeling by assimilating statistics
topic Fluid Dynamics
37M05, 37N10, 76F35, 76F55, 76F65, 62P35
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.14838