Diagnosing overdispersion in longitudinal analyses with grouped nominal polytomous data

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Salvador, Maria Letícia, Palma, Gabriel Rodrigues, Moral, Rafael de Andrade, de Lara, Idemauro Antonio Rodrigues
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Salvador, Maria Letícia
Palma, Gabriel Rodrigues
Moral, Rafael de Andrade
de Lara, Idemauro Antonio Rodrigues
author_facet Salvador, Maria Letícia
Palma, Gabriel Rodrigues
Moral, Rafael de Andrade
de Lara, Idemauro Antonio Rodrigues
contents Experiments in Agricultural Sciences often involve the analysis of longitudinal nominal polytomous variables, both in individual and grouped structures. Marginal and mixed-effects models are two common approaches. The distributional assumptions induce specific mean-variance relationships, however, in many instances, the observed variability is greater than assumed by the model. This characterizes overdispersion, whose identification is crucial for choosing an appropriate modeling framework to make inferences reliable. We propose an initial exploration of constructing a longitudinal multinomial dispersion index as a descriptive and diagnostic tool. This index is calculated as the ratio between the observed and assumed variances. The performance of this index was evaluated through a simulation study, employing statistical techniques to assess its initial performance in different scenarios. We identified that as the index approaches one, it is more likely that this corresponds to a high degree of overdispersion. Conversely, values closer to zero indicate a low degree of overdispersion. As a case study, we present an application in animal science, in which the behaviour of pigs (grouped in stalls) is evaluated, considering three response categories.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2408_15061
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Diagnosing overdispersion in longitudinal analyses with grouped nominal polytomous data
Salvador, Maria Letícia
Palma, Gabriel Rodrigues
Moral, Rafael de Andrade
de Lara, Idemauro Antonio Rodrigues
Methodology
Quantitative Methods
Experiments in Agricultural Sciences often involve the analysis of longitudinal nominal polytomous variables, both in individual and grouped structures. Marginal and mixed-effects models are two common approaches. The distributional assumptions induce specific mean-variance relationships, however, in many instances, the observed variability is greater than assumed by the model. This characterizes overdispersion, whose identification is crucial for choosing an appropriate modeling framework to make inferences reliable. We propose an initial exploration of constructing a longitudinal multinomial dispersion index as a descriptive and diagnostic tool. This index is calculated as the ratio between the observed and assumed variances. The performance of this index was evaluated through a simulation study, employing statistical techniques to assess its initial performance in different scenarios. We identified that as the index approaches one, it is more likely that this corresponds to a high degree of overdispersion. Conversely, values closer to zero indicate a low degree of overdispersion. As a case study, we present an application in animal science, in which the behaviour of pigs (grouped in stalls) is evaluated, considering three response categories.
title Diagnosing overdispersion in longitudinal analyses with grouped nominal polytomous data
topic Methodology
Quantitative Methods
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.15061