CAPER: Enhancing Career Trajectory Prediction using Temporal Knowledge Graph and Ternary Relationship

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Lee, Yeon-Chang, Lee, JaeHyun, Yamashita, Michiharu, Lee, Dongwon, Kim, Sang-Wook
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Lee, Yeon-Chang
Lee, JaeHyun
Yamashita, Michiharu
Lee, Dongwon
Kim, Sang-Wook
author_facet Lee, Yeon-Chang
Lee, JaeHyun
Yamashita, Michiharu
Lee, Dongwon
Kim, Sang-Wook
contents The problem of career trajectory prediction (CTP) aims to predict one's future employer or job position. While several CTP methods have been developed for this problem, we posit that none of these methods (1) jointly considers the mutual ternary dependency between three key units (i.e., user, position, and company) of a career and (2) captures the characteristic shifts of key units in career over time, leading to an inaccurate understanding of the job movement patterns in the labor market. To address the above challenges, we propose a novel solution, named as CAPER, that solves the challenges via sophisticated temporal knowledge graph (TKG) modeling. It enables the utilization of a graph-structured knowledge base with rich expressiveness, effectively preserving the changes in job movement patterns. Furthermore, we devise an extrapolated career reasoning task on TKG for a realistic evaluation. The experiments on a real-world career trajectory dataset demonstrate that CAPER consistently and significantly outperforms four baselines, two recent TKG reasoning methods, and five state-of-the-art CTP methods in predicting one's future companies and positions--i.e., on average, yielding 6.80% and 34.58% more accurate predictions, respectively. The codebase of CAPER is available at https://github.com/Bigdasgit/CAPER.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2408_15620
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle CAPER: Enhancing Career Trajectory Prediction using Temporal Knowledge Graph and Ternary Relationship
Lee, Yeon-Chang
Lee, JaeHyun
Yamashita, Michiharu
Lee, Dongwon
Kim, Sang-Wook
Machine Learning
Information Retrieval
The problem of career trajectory prediction (CTP) aims to predict one's future employer or job position. While several CTP methods have been developed for this problem, we posit that none of these methods (1) jointly considers the mutual ternary dependency between three key units (i.e., user, position, and company) of a career and (2) captures the characteristic shifts of key units in career over time, leading to an inaccurate understanding of the job movement patterns in the labor market. To address the above challenges, we propose a novel solution, named as CAPER, that solves the challenges via sophisticated temporal knowledge graph (TKG) modeling. It enables the utilization of a graph-structured knowledge base with rich expressiveness, effectively preserving the changes in job movement patterns. Furthermore, we devise an extrapolated career reasoning task on TKG for a realistic evaluation. The experiments on a real-world career trajectory dataset demonstrate that CAPER consistently and significantly outperforms four baselines, two recent TKG reasoning methods, and five state-of-the-art CTP methods in predicting one's future companies and positions--i.e., on average, yielding 6.80% and 34.58% more accurate predictions, respectively. The codebase of CAPER is available at https://github.com/Bigdasgit/CAPER.
title CAPER: Enhancing Career Trajectory Prediction using Temporal Knowledge Graph and Ternary Relationship
topic Machine Learning
Information Retrieval
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.15620