Assessing solution quality in risk-averse stochastic programs

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: van Beesten, E. Ruben, Koning, Nick W., Morton, David P.
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author van Beesten, E. Ruben
Koning, Nick W.
Morton, David P.
author_facet van Beesten, E. Ruben
Koning, Nick W.
Morton, David P.
contents In optimization problems, the quality of a candidate solution can be characterized by the optimality gap. For most stochastic optimization problems, this gap must be statistically estimated. We show that for risk-averse problems, standard estimators are optimistically biased, which compromises the statistical guarantee on the optimality gap. We introduce estimators for risk-averse problems that do not suffer from this bias. Our method relies on using two independent samples, each estimating a different component of the optimality gap. Our approach extends a broad class of optimality gap estimation methods from the risk-neutral case to the risk-averse case, such as the multiple replications procedure and its one- and two-sample variants. We show that our approach is tractable and leads to high-quality optimality gap estimates for spectral and quadrangle risk measures. Our approach can further make use of existing bias and variance reduction techniques.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2408_15690
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Assessing solution quality in risk-averse stochastic programs
van Beesten, E. Ruben
Koning, Nick W.
Morton, David P.
Optimization and Control
Risk Management
90C15, 91B05
In optimization problems, the quality of a candidate solution can be characterized by the optimality gap. For most stochastic optimization problems, this gap must be statistically estimated. We show that for risk-averse problems, standard estimators are optimistically biased, which compromises the statistical guarantee on the optimality gap. We introduce estimators for risk-averse problems that do not suffer from this bias. Our method relies on using two independent samples, each estimating a different component of the optimality gap. Our approach extends a broad class of optimality gap estimation methods from the risk-neutral case to the risk-averse case, such as the multiple replications procedure and its one- and two-sample variants. We show that our approach is tractable and leads to high-quality optimality gap estimates for spectral and quadrangle risk measures. Our approach can further make use of existing bias and variance reduction techniques.
title Assessing solution quality in risk-averse stochastic programs
topic Optimization and Control
Risk Management
90C15, 91B05
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.15690