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Main Authors: Rosenbaum, Paul R., Zubizarreta, Jose R.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.16708
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author Rosenbaum, Paul R.
Zubizarreta, Jose R.
author_facet Rosenbaum, Paul R.
Zubizarreta, Jose R.
contents In experimental design, aliasing of effects occurs in fractional factorial experiments, where certain low order factorial effects are indistinguishable from certain high order interactions: low order contrasts may be orthogonal to one another, while their higher order interactions are aliased and not identified. In observational studies, aliasing occurs when certain combinations of covariates -- e.g., time period and various eligibility criteria for treatment -- perfectly predict the treatment that an individual will receive, so a covariate combination is aliased with a particular treatment. In this situation, when a contrast among several groups is used to estimate a treatment effect, collections of individuals defined by contrast weights may be balanced with respect to summaries of low-order interactions between covariates and treatments, but necessarily not balanced with respect to summaries of high-order interactions between covariates and treatments. We develop a theory of aliasing in observational studies, illustrate that theory in an observational study whose aliasing is more robust than conventional difference-in-differences, and develop a new form of matching to construct balanced confounded factorial designs from observational data.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2408_16708
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Effect Aliasing in Observational Studies
Rosenbaum, Paul R.
Zubizarreta, Jose R.
Methodology
In experimental design, aliasing of effects occurs in fractional factorial experiments, where certain low order factorial effects are indistinguishable from certain high order interactions: low order contrasts may be orthogonal to one another, while their higher order interactions are aliased and not identified. In observational studies, aliasing occurs when certain combinations of covariates -- e.g., time period and various eligibility criteria for treatment -- perfectly predict the treatment that an individual will receive, so a covariate combination is aliased with a particular treatment. In this situation, when a contrast among several groups is used to estimate a treatment effect, collections of individuals defined by contrast weights may be balanced with respect to summaries of low-order interactions between covariates and treatments, but necessarily not balanced with respect to summaries of high-order interactions between covariates and treatments. We develop a theory of aliasing in observational studies, illustrate that theory in an observational study whose aliasing is more robust than conventional difference-in-differences, and develop a new form of matching to construct balanced confounded factorial designs from observational data.
title Effect Aliasing in Observational Studies
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.16708