On the Cosmic Variance of the Merger Rate Density of Binary Neutron Stars

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Main Authors: Chen, Zhiwei, Lu, Youjun, Wang, Jie, Jiang, Zhen, Chu, Qingbo, Ma, Xianghao
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Chen, Zhiwei
Lu, Youjun
Wang, Jie
Jiang, Zhen
Chu, Qingbo
Ma, Xianghao
author_facet Chen, Zhiwei
Lu, Youjun
Wang, Jie
Jiang, Zhen
Chu, Qingbo
Ma, Xianghao
contents The cosmic variance on the star formation history may lead to bias to the merger rate density estimation of binary neutron star (BNS) mergers by the compact binary population synthesis. In this paper, we take the advantage of the large boxsize of the Millennium Simulation combined with the semi-analytic galaxy formation model GABE, and the parameterized population binary star evolution (BSE) model to examine how much effect will the cosmic variance introduce on the estimation of merger rate density of BNS mergers. We find that for sub-box size of $100\rm Mpc$ and $200\rm Mpc$, the variance of merger rate density $σ_{\rm R}/\rm R$ at different redshift is about $23\%-35\%$ and $13\%-20\%$ respectively. On one hand, as for the variance of the detection rate on BNS mergers with current LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) detector network, this value is very small $\lesssim 10\%$, which indicates ignoring the cosmic variance is reasonable for estimating the merger rate density from current LVK observation. On the other hand, with next-generation gravitational wave detectors, it is possible to localize BNS mergers within sub-boxes possessing length of $\rm 40 Mpc$ for source redshift $z_{s}<0.2$. In such a small box, the cosmic variance of the merger rate density is significant, i.e., the value of $σ_{\rm R}/\rm R$ is about $\sim 55\%$. This hints that estimating the merger rate density of BNS in different sky areas may provide useful information on the cosmic variance.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2408_16968
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle On the Cosmic Variance of the Merger Rate Density of Binary Neutron Stars
Chen, Zhiwei
Lu, Youjun
Wang, Jie
Jiang, Zhen
Chu, Qingbo
Ma, Xianghao
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
Astrophysics of Galaxies
The cosmic variance on the star formation history may lead to bias to the merger rate density estimation of binary neutron star (BNS) mergers by the compact binary population synthesis. In this paper, we take the advantage of the large boxsize of the Millennium Simulation combined with the semi-analytic galaxy formation model GABE, and the parameterized population binary star evolution (BSE) model to examine how much effect will the cosmic variance introduce on the estimation of merger rate density of BNS mergers. We find that for sub-box size of $100\rm Mpc$ and $200\rm Mpc$, the variance of merger rate density $σ_{\rm R}/\rm R$ at different redshift is about $23\%-35\%$ and $13\%-20\%$ respectively. On one hand, as for the variance of the detection rate on BNS mergers with current LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA (LVK) detector network, this value is very small $\lesssim 10\%$, which indicates ignoring the cosmic variance is reasonable for estimating the merger rate density from current LVK observation. On the other hand, with next-generation gravitational wave detectors, it is possible to localize BNS mergers within sub-boxes possessing length of $\rm 40 Mpc$ for source redshift $z_{s}<0.2$. In such a small box, the cosmic variance of the merger rate density is significant, i.e., the value of $σ_{\rm R}/\rm R$ is about $\sim 55\%$. This hints that estimating the merger rate density of BNS in different sky areas may provide useful information on the cosmic variance.
title On the Cosmic Variance of the Merger Rate Density of Binary Neutron Stars
topic High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
Astrophysics of Galaxies
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.16968