Personalized Pricing Decisions Through Adversarial Risk Analysis

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Rasines, Daniel García, Naveiro, Roi, Insua, David Ríos, Santana, Simón Rodríguez
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Rasines, Daniel García
Naveiro, Roi
Insua, David Ríos
Santana, Simón Rodríguez
author_facet Rasines, Daniel García
Naveiro, Roi
Insua, David Ríos
Santana, Simón Rodríguez
contents Pricing decisions stand out as one of the most critical tasks a company faces, particularly in today's digital economy. As with other business decision-making problems, pricing unfolds in a highly competitive and uncertain environment. Traditional analyses in this area have heavily relied on game theory and its variants. However, an important drawback of these approaches is their reliance on common knowledge assumptions, which are hardly tenable in competitive business domains. This paper introduces an innovative personalized pricing framework designed to assist decision-makers in undertaking pricing decisions amidst competition, considering both buyer's and competitors' preferences. Our approach (i) establishes a coherent framework for modeling competition mitigating common knowledge assumptions; (ii) proposes a principled method to forecast competitors' pricing and customers' purchasing decisions, acknowledging major business uncertainties; and, (iii) encourages structured thinking about the competitors' problems, thus enriching the solution process. To illustrate these properties, in addition to a general pricing template, we outline two specifications - one from the retail domain and a more intricate one from the pension fund domain.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2409_00444
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Personalized Pricing Decisions Through Adversarial Risk Analysis
Rasines, Daniel García
Naveiro, Roi
Insua, David Ríos
Santana, Simón Rodríguez
Computer Science and Game Theory
Applications
Pricing decisions stand out as one of the most critical tasks a company faces, particularly in today's digital economy. As with other business decision-making problems, pricing unfolds in a highly competitive and uncertain environment. Traditional analyses in this area have heavily relied on game theory and its variants. However, an important drawback of these approaches is their reliance on common knowledge assumptions, which are hardly tenable in competitive business domains. This paper introduces an innovative personalized pricing framework designed to assist decision-makers in undertaking pricing decisions amidst competition, considering both buyer's and competitors' preferences. Our approach (i) establishes a coherent framework for modeling competition mitigating common knowledge assumptions; (ii) proposes a principled method to forecast competitors' pricing and customers' purchasing decisions, acknowledging major business uncertainties; and, (iii) encourages structured thinking about the competitors' problems, thus enriching the solution process. To illustrate these properties, in addition to a general pricing template, we outline two specifications - one from the retail domain and a more intricate one from the pension fund domain.
title Personalized Pricing Decisions Through Adversarial Risk Analysis
topic Computer Science and Game Theory
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.00444