Simulation of Social Media-Driven Bubble Formation in Financial Markets using an Agent-Based Model with Hierarchical Influence Network

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Bohorquez, Gonzalo, Cartlidge, John
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Bohorquez, Gonzalo
Cartlidge, John
author_facet Bohorquez, Gonzalo
Cartlidge, John
contents We propose that a tree-like hierarchical structure represents a simple and effective way to model the emergent behaviour of financial markets, especially markets where there exists a pronounced intersection between social media influences and investor behaviour. To explore this hypothesis, we introduce an agent-based model of financial markets, where trading agents are embedded in a hierarchical network of communities, and communities influence the strategies and opinions of traders. Empirical analysis of the model shows that its behaviour conforms to several stylized facts observed in real financial markets; and the model is able to realistically simulate the effects that social media-driven phenomena, such as echo chambers and pump-and-dump schemes, have on financial markets.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2409_00742
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Simulation of Social Media-Driven Bubble Formation in Financial Markets using an Agent-Based Model with Hierarchical Influence Network
Bohorquez, Gonzalo
Cartlidge, John
Multiagent Systems
Artificial Intelligence
Trading and Market Microstructure
I.2.11
We propose that a tree-like hierarchical structure represents a simple and effective way to model the emergent behaviour of financial markets, especially markets where there exists a pronounced intersection between social media influences and investor behaviour. To explore this hypothesis, we introduce an agent-based model of financial markets, where trading agents are embedded in a hierarchical network of communities, and communities influence the strategies and opinions of traders. Empirical analysis of the model shows that its behaviour conforms to several stylized facts observed in real financial markets; and the model is able to realistically simulate the effects that social media-driven phenomena, such as echo chambers and pump-and-dump schemes, have on financial markets.
title Simulation of Social Media-Driven Bubble Formation in Financial Markets using an Agent-Based Model with Hierarchical Influence Network
topic Multiagent Systems
Artificial Intelligence
Trading and Market Microstructure
I.2.11
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.00742