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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Pan, Yue, Pan, Jiazhu
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.01521
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author Pan, Yue
Pan, Jiazhu
author_facet Pan, Yue
Pan, Jiazhu
contents This paper proposes a spatial threshold GARCH-type model for dynamic spatio-temporal integer-valued data with network structure. The proposed model can simplify the parameterization by using network structure in data, and can capture the asymmetric property in dynamic volatility by adopting a threshold structure. The proposed model assumes the conditional distribution is Poisson distribution. Asymptotic theory of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) for the spatial model is derived when both sample size and network dimension are large. We obtain asymptotic statistical inferences via investigation of the weak dependence of components of the model and application of limit theorems for weakly dependent random fields. Simulation studies and a real data example are presented to support our methodology.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2409_01521
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Modelling Volatility of Spatio-temporal Integer-valued Data with Network Structure and Asymmetry
Pan, Yue
Pan, Jiazhu
Methodology
62M10, 91B05 (Primary) 60G60, 60F05 (Secondary)
This paper proposes a spatial threshold GARCH-type model for dynamic spatio-temporal integer-valued data with network structure. The proposed model can simplify the parameterization by using network structure in data, and can capture the asymmetric property in dynamic volatility by adopting a threshold structure. The proposed model assumes the conditional distribution is Poisson distribution. Asymptotic theory of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) for the spatial model is derived when both sample size and network dimension are large. We obtain asymptotic statistical inferences via investigation of the weak dependence of components of the model and application of limit theorems for weakly dependent random fields. Simulation studies and a real data example are presented to support our methodology.
title Modelling Volatility of Spatio-temporal Integer-valued Data with Network Structure and Asymmetry
topic Methodology
62M10, 91B05 (Primary) 60G60, 60F05 (Secondary)
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.01521