Federated Prediction-Powered Inference from Decentralized Data

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Luo, Ping, Deng, Xiaoge, Wen, Ziqing, Sun, Tao, Li, Dongsheng
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Luo, Ping
Deng, Xiaoge
Wen, Ziqing
Sun, Tao
Li, Dongsheng
author_facet Luo, Ping
Deng, Xiaoge
Wen, Ziqing
Sun, Tao
Li, Dongsheng
contents In various domains, the increasing application of machine learning allows researchers to access inexpensive predictive data, which can be utilized as auxiliary data for statistical inference. Although such data are often unreliable compared to gold-standard datasets, Prediction-Powered Inference (PPI) has been proposed to ensure statistical validity despite the unreliability. However, the challenge of `data silos' arises when the private gold-standard datasets are non-shareable for model training, leading to less accurate predictive models and invalid inferences. In this paper, we introduces the Federated Prediction-Powered Inference (Fed-PPI) framework, which addresses this challenge by enabling decentralized experimental data to contribute to statistically valid conclusions without sharing private information. The Fed-PPI framework involves training local models on private data, aggregating them through Federated Learning (FL), and deriving confidence intervals using PPI computation. The proposed framework is evaluated through experiments, demonstrating its effectiveness in producing valid confidence intervals.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2409_01730
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Federated Prediction-Powered Inference from Decentralized Data
Luo, Ping
Deng, Xiaoge
Wen, Ziqing
Sun, Tao
Li, Dongsheng
Machine Learning
In various domains, the increasing application of machine learning allows researchers to access inexpensive predictive data, which can be utilized as auxiliary data for statistical inference. Although such data are often unreliable compared to gold-standard datasets, Prediction-Powered Inference (PPI) has been proposed to ensure statistical validity despite the unreliability. However, the challenge of `data silos' arises when the private gold-standard datasets are non-shareable for model training, leading to less accurate predictive models and invalid inferences. In this paper, we introduces the Federated Prediction-Powered Inference (Fed-PPI) framework, which addresses this challenge by enabling decentralized experimental data to contribute to statistically valid conclusions without sharing private information. The Fed-PPI framework involves training local models on private data, aggregating them through Federated Learning (FL), and deriving confidence intervals using PPI computation. The proposed framework is evaluated through experiments, demonstrating its effectiveness in producing valid confidence intervals.
title Federated Prediction-Powered Inference from Decentralized Data
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.01730