Modelling multivariate spatio-temporal data with identifiable variational autoencoders

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Sipilä, Mika, Cappello, Claudia, De Iaco, Sandra, Nordhausen, Klaus, Taskinen, Sara
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Sipilä, Mika
Cappello, Claudia
De Iaco, Sandra
Nordhausen, Klaus
Taskinen, Sara
author_facet Sipilä, Mika
Cappello, Claudia
De Iaco, Sandra
Nordhausen, Klaus
Taskinen, Sara
contents Modelling multivariate spatio-temporal data with complex dependency structures is a challenging task but can be simplified by assuming that the original variables are generated from independent latent components. If these components are found, they can be modelled univariately. Blind source separation aims to recover the latent components by estimating the unmixing transformation based on the observed data only. The current methods for spatio-temporal blind source separation are restricted to linear unmixing, and nonlinear variants have not been implemented. In this paper, we extend identifiable variational autoencoder to the nonlinear nonstationary spatio-temporal blind source separation setting and demonstrate its performance using comprehensive simulation studies. Additionally, we introduce two alternative methods for the latent dimension estimation, which is a crucial task in order to obtain the correct latent representation. Finally, we illustrate the proposed methods using a meteorological application, where we estimate the latent dimension and the latent components, interpret the components, and show how nonstationarity can be accounted and prediction accuracy can be improved by using the proposed nonlinear blind source separation method as a preprocessing method.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2409_04162
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Modelling multivariate spatio-temporal data with identifiable variational autoencoders
Sipilä, Mika
Cappello, Claudia
De Iaco, Sandra
Nordhausen, Klaus
Taskinen, Sara
Methodology
Modelling multivariate spatio-temporal data with complex dependency structures is a challenging task but can be simplified by assuming that the original variables are generated from independent latent components. If these components are found, they can be modelled univariately. Blind source separation aims to recover the latent components by estimating the unmixing transformation based on the observed data only. The current methods for spatio-temporal blind source separation are restricted to linear unmixing, and nonlinear variants have not been implemented. In this paper, we extend identifiable variational autoencoder to the nonlinear nonstationary spatio-temporal blind source separation setting and demonstrate its performance using comprehensive simulation studies. Additionally, we introduce two alternative methods for the latent dimension estimation, which is a crucial task in order to obtain the correct latent representation. Finally, we illustrate the proposed methods using a meteorological application, where we estimate the latent dimension and the latent components, interpret the components, and show how nonstationarity can be accounted and prediction accuracy can be improved by using the proposed nonlinear blind source separation method as a preprocessing method.
title Modelling multivariate spatio-temporal data with identifiable variational autoencoders
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.04162