Adapting to Shifting Correlations with Unlabeled Data Calibration

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Nguyen, Minh, Wang, Alan Q., Kim, Heejong, Sabuncu, Mert R.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Nguyen, Minh
Wang, Alan Q.
Kim, Heejong
Sabuncu, Mert R.
author_facet Nguyen, Minh
Wang, Alan Q.
Kim, Heejong
Sabuncu, Mert R.
contents Distribution shifts between sites can seriously degrade model performance since models are prone to exploiting unstable correlations. Thus, many methods try to find features that are stable across sites and discard unstable features. However, unstable features might have complementary information that, if used appropriately, could increase accuracy. More recent methods try to adapt to unstable features at the new sites to achieve higher accuracy. However, they make unrealistic assumptions or fail to scale to multiple confounding features. We propose Generalized Prevalence Adjustment (GPA for short), a flexible method that adjusts model predictions to the shifting correlations between prediction target and confounders to safely exploit unstable features. GPA can infer the interaction between target and confounders in new sites using unlabeled samples from those sites. We evaluate GPA on several real and synthetic datasets, and show that it outperforms competitive baselines.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2409_05996
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Adapting to Shifting Correlations with Unlabeled Data Calibration
Nguyen, Minh
Wang, Alan Q.
Kim, Heejong
Sabuncu, Mert R.
Machine Learning
Distribution shifts between sites can seriously degrade model performance since models are prone to exploiting unstable correlations. Thus, many methods try to find features that are stable across sites and discard unstable features. However, unstable features might have complementary information that, if used appropriately, could increase accuracy. More recent methods try to adapt to unstable features at the new sites to achieve higher accuracy. However, they make unrealistic assumptions or fail to scale to multiple confounding features. We propose Generalized Prevalence Adjustment (GPA for short), a flexible method that adjusts model predictions to the shifting correlations between prediction target and confounders to safely exploit unstable features. GPA can infer the interaction between target and confounders in new sites using unlabeled samples from those sites. We evaluate GPA on several real and synthetic datasets, and show that it outperforms competitive baselines.
title Adapting to Shifting Correlations with Unlabeled Data Calibration
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.05996