Spatial structure facilitates evolutionary rescue by drug resistance

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Fruet, Cecilia, Müller, Ella Linxia, Loverdo, Claude, Bitbol, Anne-Florence
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Fruet, Cecilia
Müller, Ella Linxia
Loverdo, Claude
Bitbol, Anne-Florence
author_facet Fruet, Cecilia
Müller, Ella Linxia
Loverdo, Claude
Bitbol, Anne-Florence
contents Bacterial populations often have complex spatial structures, which can impact their evolution. Here, we study how spatial structure affects the evolution of antibiotic resistance in a bacterial population. We consider a minimal model of spatially structured populations where all demes (i.e., subpopulations) are identical and connected to each other by identical migration rates. We show that spatial structure can facilitate the survival of a bacterial population to antibiotic treatment, starting from a sensitive inoculum. Specifically, the bacterial population can be rescued if antibiotic resistant mutants appear and are present when drug is added, and spatial structure can impact the fate of these mutants and the probability that they are present. Indeed, the probability of fixation of neutral or deleterious mutations providing drug resistance is increased in smaller populations. This promotes local fixation of resistant mutants in the structured population, which facilitates evolutionary rescue by drug resistance in the rare mutation regime. Once the population is rescued by resistance, migrations allow resistant mutants to spread in all demes. Our main result that spatial structure facilitates evolutionary rescue by antibiotic resistance extends to more complex spatial structures, and to the case where there are resistant mutants in the inoculum.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2409_07377
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Spatial structure facilitates evolutionary rescue by drug resistance
Fruet, Cecilia
Müller, Ella Linxia
Loverdo, Claude
Bitbol, Anne-Florence
Populations and Evolution
Biological Physics
Bacterial populations often have complex spatial structures, which can impact their evolution. Here, we study how spatial structure affects the evolution of antibiotic resistance in a bacterial population. We consider a minimal model of spatially structured populations where all demes (i.e., subpopulations) are identical and connected to each other by identical migration rates. We show that spatial structure can facilitate the survival of a bacterial population to antibiotic treatment, starting from a sensitive inoculum. Specifically, the bacterial population can be rescued if antibiotic resistant mutants appear and are present when drug is added, and spatial structure can impact the fate of these mutants and the probability that they are present. Indeed, the probability of fixation of neutral or deleterious mutations providing drug resistance is increased in smaller populations. This promotes local fixation of resistant mutants in the structured population, which facilitates evolutionary rescue by drug resistance in the rare mutation regime. Once the population is rescued by resistance, migrations allow resistant mutants to spread in all demes. Our main result that spatial structure facilitates evolutionary rescue by antibiotic resistance extends to more complex spatial structures, and to the case where there are resistant mutants in the inoculum.
title Spatial structure facilitates evolutionary rescue by drug resistance
topic Populations and Evolution
Biological Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.07377