Easy Conditioning far beyond Gaussian

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Faul, Antoine, Ginsbourger, David, Spycher, Ben
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Faul, Antoine
Ginsbourger, David
Spycher, Ben
author_facet Faul, Antoine
Ginsbourger, David
Spycher, Ben
contents Multivariate Gaussian distributions enjoy Gaussian conditional distributions that makes conditioning easy: conditioning boils down to implementing analytical formulae for conditional means and covariances. For more general distributions, however, conditional distributions may not be available in analytical form and require demanding and approximate numerical approaches. Primarily motivatedby probabilistic imputation problems, we review and discuss families of multivariate distributions that do enjoy analytical conditioning, also providing a few counter-examples. Proving that trans-dimensional stability under conditioning extends to mixtures and transformations, we demonstrate that a broader class of multivariate distributions inherit easy conditioning properties. Building on this insight, we developed a generative method to estimate conditional distributions from data by first fitting a flexible joint distribution using copulas and then performing analytical conditioning in a latent space. In our applications, we specifically opt for Gaussian Mixture Copula Models (GMCM), comparing in turn various fitting strategies. Through simulations and real-world data experiments, we showcase the efficacy of our method in tasks involving conditional density estimation and data imputation. We also touch upon links to Gaussian process modelling and how stability by mixtures and transformations and mixtures carries over towards easy conditioning of non-Gaussian processes.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2409_16003
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Easy Conditioning far beyond Gaussian
Faul, Antoine
Ginsbourger, David
Spycher, Ben
Methodology
Multivariate Gaussian distributions enjoy Gaussian conditional distributions that makes conditioning easy: conditioning boils down to implementing analytical formulae for conditional means and covariances. For more general distributions, however, conditional distributions may not be available in analytical form and require demanding and approximate numerical approaches. Primarily motivatedby probabilistic imputation problems, we review and discuss families of multivariate distributions that do enjoy analytical conditioning, also providing a few counter-examples. Proving that trans-dimensional stability under conditioning extends to mixtures and transformations, we demonstrate that a broader class of multivariate distributions inherit easy conditioning properties. Building on this insight, we developed a generative method to estimate conditional distributions from data by first fitting a flexible joint distribution using copulas and then performing analytical conditioning in a latent space. In our applications, we specifically opt for Gaussian Mixture Copula Models (GMCM), comparing in turn various fitting strategies. Through simulations and real-world data experiments, we showcase the efficacy of our method in tasks involving conditional density estimation and data imputation. We also touch upon links to Gaussian process modelling and how stability by mixtures and transformations and mixtures carries over towards easy conditioning of non-Gaussian processes.
title Easy Conditioning far beyond Gaussian
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.16003