New Insights into Global Warming: End-to-End Visual Analysis and Prediction of Temperature Variations

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Zhou, Meihua, Wan, Nan, Zheng, Tianlong, Xu, Hanwen, Yang, Li, Wang, Tingting
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Zhou, Meihua
Wan, Nan
Zheng, Tianlong
Xu, Hanwen
Yang, Li
Wang, Tingting
author_facet Zhou, Meihua
Wan, Nan
Zheng, Tianlong
Xu, Hanwen
Yang, Li
Wang, Tingting
contents Global warming presents an unprecedented challenge to our planet however comprehensive understanding remains hindered by geographical biases temporal limitations and lack of standardization in existing research. An end to end visual analysis of global warming using three distinct temperature datasets is presented. A baseline adjusted from the Paris Agreements one point five degrees Celsius benchmark based on data analysis is employed. A closed loop design from visualization to prediction and clustering is created using classic models tailored to the characteristics of the data. This approach reduces complexity and eliminates the need for advanced feature engineering. A lightweight convolutional neural network and long short term memory model specifically designed for global temperature change is proposed achieving exceptional accuracy in long term forecasting with a mean squared error of three times ten to the power of negative six and an R squared value of zero point nine nine nine nine. Dynamic time warping and KMeans clustering elucidate national level temperature anomalies and carbon emission patterns. This comprehensive method reveals intricate spatiotemporal characteristics of global temperature variations and provides warming trend attribution. The findings offer new insights into climate change dynamics demonstrating that simplicity and precision can coexist in environmental analysis.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2409_16311
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle New Insights into Global Warming: End-to-End Visual Analysis and Prediction of Temperature Variations
Zhou, Meihua
Wan, Nan
Zheng, Tianlong
Xu, Hanwen
Yang, Li
Wang, Tingting
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
Human-Computer Interaction
Applications
Global warming presents an unprecedented challenge to our planet however comprehensive understanding remains hindered by geographical biases temporal limitations and lack of standardization in existing research. An end to end visual analysis of global warming using three distinct temperature datasets is presented. A baseline adjusted from the Paris Agreements one point five degrees Celsius benchmark based on data analysis is employed. A closed loop design from visualization to prediction and clustering is created using classic models tailored to the characteristics of the data. This approach reduces complexity and eliminates the need for advanced feature engineering. A lightweight convolutional neural network and long short term memory model specifically designed for global temperature change is proposed achieving exceptional accuracy in long term forecasting with a mean squared error of three times ten to the power of negative six and an R squared value of zero point nine nine nine nine. Dynamic time warping and KMeans clustering elucidate national level temperature anomalies and carbon emission patterns. This comprehensive method reveals intricate spatiotemporal characteristics of global temperature variations and provides warming trend attribution. The findings offer new insights into climate change dynamics demonstrating that simplicity and precision can coexist in environmental analysis.
title New Insights into Global Warming: End-to-End Visual Analysis and Prediction of Temperature Variations
topic Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
Human-Computer Interaction
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.16311