Conditional Testing based on Localized Conformal p-values

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Wu, Xiaoyang, Lu, Lin, Wang, Zhaojun, Zou, Changliang
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Wu, Xiaoyang
Lu, Lin
Wang, Zhaojun
Zou, Changliang
author_facet Wu, Xiaoyang
Lu, Lin
Wang, Zhaojun
Zou, Changliang
contents In this paper, we address conditional testing problems through the conformal inference framework. We define the localized conformal p-values by inverting prediction intervals and prove their theoretical properties. These defined p-values are then applied to several conditional testing problems to illustrate their practicality. Firstly, we propose a conditional outlier detection procedure to test for outliers in the conditional distribution with finite-sample false discovery rate (FDR) control. We also introduce a novel conditional label screening problem with the goal of screening multivariate response variables and propose a screening procedure to control the family-wise error rate (FWER). Finally, we consider the two-sample conditional distribution test and define a weighted U-statistic through the aggregation of localized p-values. Numerical simulations and real-data examples validate the superior performance of our proposed strategies.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2409_16829
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Conditional Testing based on Localized Conformal p-values
Wu, Xiaoyang
Lu, Lin
Wang, Zhaojun
Zou, Changliang
Methodology
Machine Learning
In this paper, we address conditional testing problems through the conformal inference framework. We define the localized conformal p-values by inverting prediction intervals and prove their theoretical properties. These defined p-values are then applied to several conditional testing problems to illustrate their practicality. Firstly, we propose a conditional outlier detection procedure to test for outliers in the conditional distribution with finite-sample false discovery rate (FDR) control. We also introduce a novel conditional label screening problem with the goal of screening multivariate response variables and propose a screening procedure to control the family-wise error rate (FWER). Finally, we consider the two-sample conditional distribution test and define a weighted U-statistic through the aggregation of localized p-values. Numerical simulations and real-data examples validate the superior performance of our proposed strategies.
title Conditional Testing based on Localized Conformal p-values
topic Methodology
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.16829